BMO:TSXBank of Montreal Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-09 - not real-time
CA$241.48
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
At CAD 241.48, Bank of Montreal shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 3.7%. With RSI at 45.5 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bullish MACD signal. The recent range runs from support at CAD 232.01 up to resistance at CAD 259.20.
Valuation screens as fair: a P/E of 19.7 sits above the sector average of 16.2. Consensus targets land 5.4% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 12.0% on a 25.7% profit margin. The 2.82% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 3 — low. With 30-day volatility of 21.5%, a beta of 0.83 and a maximum drawdown of 10.1%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on buy — conviction 5 out of 10.
Valuation screens as fair: a P/E of 19.7 sits above the sector average of 16.2. Consensus targets land 5.4% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 12.0% on a 25.7% profit margin. The 2.82% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 3 — low. With 30-day volatility of 21.5%, a beta of 0.83 and a maximum drawdown of 10.1%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on buy — conviction 5 out of 10.
Top Market Events
Bank of Montreal TSX:BMO has received regulatory approval for a new normal course issuer bid to repurchase up to 25...The latest company information, including net asset values, performance, holding & sectors weighting, changes in voting...Bank of Montreal TSX:BMO has launched new leveraged and inverse ETNs offering 3× long and short exposure to major U.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 211.07
- MACD momentum is positive
- RSI at 45.5 is in neutral territory
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 19.7 versus sector average of 16.2
- Trading above the 200-day average of 211.07
- Analyst targets imply +5.4% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 19.7 versus sector average of 16.2
- Analyst targets imply +5.4% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 25.7% is healthy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth12.00%
Profit Margin25.66%
P/E Ratio19.7
ROE10.57%
ROA0.62%
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash FlowCA$-4742000128
Industry P/E16.2
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI45.5
SupportCA$232.01
ResistanceCA$259.20
MA 20CA$244.46
MA 50CA$248.81
MA 200CA$211.07
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.36
Valuation
Target PriceCA$254.57
Upside/Downside5.42%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.82%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.83
Volatility21.50%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.