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BLOOM:PSEBloomberry Resorts Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time

$159.21

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Bloom Energy is trading well above its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs at $159.21, confirming a short‑term bullish price trend, but the MACD histogram has turned negative and the signal line sits above the MACD line, signaling emerging bearish momentum. The RSI hovers around 53, indicating neutral pressure, while the 30‑day volatility exceeds 115% and beta is near 2, underscoring a highly volatile, market‑sensitive stock. Valuation metrics are starkly misaligned: the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $23 is far below the current price, and the forward PE of 54 is well above the industry average of 30, suggesting the market has priced in aggressive growth expectations. Recent earnings surprised to the upside, prompting analysts to upgrade their targets to a median of $156, yet the stock remains within a tight range between a support level near $131 and resistance around $181. Fundamentally, the company posted 36% revenue growth YoY and a positive forward EPS estimate, but profitability remains elusive with a negative trailing EPS and a profit margin in the negatives.
Cash balances exceed $2.4 bn, yet total debt is roughly $3.0 bn, yielding a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 370%, which raises concerns about balance‑sheet resilience. The firm’s exposure to clean‑energy incentives and the expanding hydrogen market provides a compelling growth narrative, but the current valuation premium, high volatility, and sizeable debt load suggest caution. Analyst consensus remains a “Buy” with a median price target of $156, reflecting confidence in the long‑term tailwinds despite short‑term pricing risks.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD divergence
  • Proximity to resistance at $180.9
  • Extreme overvaluation relative to DCF

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and forward EPS upside
  • Analyst buy consensus with median target near current price
  • Persistently high volatility and beta

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term clean‑energy and hydrogen market tailwinds
  • Robust cash position supporting future investment
  • Potential for margin improvement as scale increases

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth35.90%
Profit Margin-4.37%
P/E Ratio54.1
ROE-12.65%
ROA1.57%
Debt/Equity377.80
P/B Ratio58.0
Op. Cash Flow$113.9M
Free Cash Flow$188.5M
Industry P/E30.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI52.8
Support$131.00
Resistance$180.90
MA 20$155.62
MA 50$143.14
MA 200$85.61
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.84

Valuation

Fair Value$23.60
Target Price$144.08
Upside/Downside-9.50%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.98
Volatility117.54%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.