BLDR:NYSEBuilders FirstSource, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-13 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Builders FirstSource is trading well below its long‑term moving averages (20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs) and the RSI sits in the deep‑oversold region, signaling a technically bearish environment. The MACD line remains under its signal, the histogram is negative, and despite a recent increase in volume, price action has been constrained by a 46% 30‑day volatility and a beta above 1, indicating heightened market sensitivity. Fundamentally, the company posted a 12% YoY revenue decline and missed Q4 earnings expectations, though full‑year revenue guidance nudged above consensus and analysts have upgraded the outlook, with a median price target around $125 suggesting notable upside from the current $88 level. Strategic investments in digital capabilities and supply‑chain efficiencies are highlighted in management commentary, offering a potential catalyst for a mid‑term recovery.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Technical indicators show oversold conditions and bearish momentum
- Recent earnings miss and revenue contraction
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Guidance above consensus and analyst upgrade to Outperform
- Strategic digital and supply‑chain initiatives
- Potential bounce from support near $86
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Industry‑leading market position in building‑materials distribution
- Valuation gap between current price and analyst price targets
- Long‑term growth prospects from modular home and digital service segments
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.