BHARTIARTL:NSEBHARTI AIRTEL FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-14 - not real-time
₹1,883.50
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Bharti Airtel is trading at ₹1883.5, just below the identified resistance of ₹1906 and modestly above the 20‑day SMA of ₹1833.8, which sits slightly under the 50‑day SMA of ₹1835.9, indicating a short‑term bearish bias. The MACD line remains below its signal (‑9.82 vs ‑9.41) and the histogram is negative, reinforcing the bearish momentum, while the RSI at 57 suggests the stock is not yet oversold. Volume trends are increasing, supporting the price move, but volatility remains elevated at ~26.6% over the past 30 days and the max drawdown of nearly 19% highlights downside risk. The market sentiment index shows Extreme Greed, reflecting strong bullish appetite despite the technical signals.
Given a near‑zero beta and a negative beta reading, the stock shows limited correlation with broader market swings, and the forward PE of 22.2 suggests valuation is tightening. The combination of rising volume, support at ₹1740.5, and a high dividend yield of 0.89% offers some defensive comfort, yet the bearish technical setup and proximity to resistance call for caution in the immediate term.
Given a near‑zero beta and a negative beta reading, the stock shows limited correlation with broader market swings, and the forward PE of 22.2 suggests valuation is tightening. The combination of rising volume, support at ₹1740.5, and a high dividend yield of 0.89% offers some defensive comfort, yet the bearish technical setup and proximity to resistance call for caution in the immediate term.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and proximity to resistance
- Increasing volume but high volatility
- Extreme Greed sentiment may be overstated
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Support level at ₹1740.5 provides downside cushion
- Forward PE compression indicating valuation improvement
- Stable dividend yield and low currency exposure
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strong underlying telecom demand in India
- Limited beta correlation reduces market risk
- Elevated valuation and potential regulatory headwinds
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price1883.5
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityLow
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI57.1
Support₹1,740.50
Resistance₹1,906.00
MA 20₹1,833.78
MA 50₹1,835.94
MA 200₹1,959.45
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.5
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.11
Volatility26.65%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.