BG:VIEBAWAG Group AG Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
$127.17
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Bunge Global SA (BG) is trading at $127.17, comfortably above its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs (~$124.9 and $125.1) and well above the 200‑day SMA of $106.6, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. The stock sits midway between a support level of $118.3 and a resistance of $134.9, with a neutral RSI (~53) and a bullish MACD histogram, suggesting upside potential while volatility remains elevated at roughly 30% over the past month. Revenue surged 87.8% YoY to $21.86 bn, and non‑GAAP EPS of $1.83 beat consensus, propelling forward EPS expectations to $10.89 and compressing the forward P/E to ~11.7. The company declared a $2.88 per‑share dividend (2.26% yield) with a 73% payout ratio, yet free cash flow is deeply negative and debt‑to‑equity sits near 93, raising sustainability questions. Analyst sentiment is positive, with a “Buy” consensus, a median price target of $145 and an implied upside of about 11.6%, while market sentiment is in “Extreme Greed” territory.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and price above short‑term SMAs
- Support level comfortably below current price
- Analyst upgrade to Strong Buy and positive earnings surprise
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Robust 87.8% revenue growth YoY
- Forward P/E compression to ~11.7 indicating value
- Median target price of $145 implying ~14% upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- High debt‑to‑equity ratio (~93) and negative free cash flow
- Dividend payout at 73% of earnings may be unsustainable
- Exposure to commodity price cycles and regulatory environment
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth87.80%
Profit Margin0.85%
P/E Ratio33.5
ROE4.93%
ROA2.38%
Debt/Equity93.21
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow$588.0M
Free Cash Flow$-6827500032
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI53.2
Support$118.29
Resistance$134.87
MA 20$124.90
MA 50$125.06
MA 200$106.61
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair Value$1.67
Target Price$142.00
Upside/Downside11.66%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield2.26%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.12
Volatility29.75%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.