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BG:VIEBAWAG Group AG Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$127.17

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Bunge Global SA (BG) is trading at $127.17, comfortably above its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs (~$124.9 and $125.1) and well above the 200‑day SMA of $106.6, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. The stock sits midway between a support level of $118.3 and a resistance of $134.9, with a neutral RSI (~53) and a bullish MACD histogram, suggesting upside potential while volatility remains elevated at roughly 30% over the past month. Revenue surged 87.8% YoY to $21.86 bn, and non‑GAAP EPS of $1.83 beat consensus, propelling forward EPS expectations to $10.89 and compressing the forward P/E to ~11.7. The company declared a $2.88 per‑share dividend (2.26% yield) with a 73% payout ratio, yet free cash flow is deeply negative and debt‑to‑equity sits near 93, raising sustainability questions. Analyst sentiment is positive, with a “Buy” consensus, a median price target of $145 and an implied upside of about 11.6%, while market sentiment is in “Extreme Greed” territory.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and price above short‑term SMAs
  • Support level comfortably below current price
  • Analyst upgrade to Strong Buy and positive earnings surprise

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Robust 87.8% revenue growth YoY
  • Forward P/E compression to ~11.7 indicating value
  • Median target price of $145 implying ~14% upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio (~93) and negative free cash flow
  • Dividend payout at 73% of earnings may be unsustainable
  • Exposure to commodity price cycles and regulatory environment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth87.80%
Profit Margin0.85%
P/E Ratio33.5
ROE4.93%
ROA2.38%
Debt/Equity93.21
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow$588.0M
Free Cash Flow$-6827500032

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI53.2
Support$118.29
Resistance$134.87
MA 20$124.90
MA 50$125.06
MA 200$106.61
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value$1.67
Target Price$142.00
Upside/Downside11.66%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield2.26%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.12
Volatility29.75%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.