BC8:XETRBechtle AG Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time
€32.68
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Bechtle AG is trading at €32.68, comfortably below its 20‑day SMA of €32.94 and far under the 50‑day and 200‑day averages (~€38.8), indicating a short‑term price weakness but also a potential re‑entry point. The RSI of 35 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD line sits above its signal line, producing a modest bullish histogram – a technical mix that favors a tentative bounce toward the nearby resistance at €34.90.
Fundamentally, the company appears undervalued: its trailing PE of 19 is well under the industry average of 34.6, and the DCF‑derived fair value of €33.75 implies roughly a 3% discount to current price with an upside potential of over 30% when considering the broader upside/downside metric. Revenue is growing at 5% YoY, margins remain modest but stable, and a 2.15% dividend yield backed by a 40% payout ratio signals sustainable cash returns. Low beta (~0.27) and a 44% 30‑day volatility profile suggest limited market‑wide correlation but heightened price swings, while decreasing volume points to a potential liquidity pinch.
Fundamentally, the company appears undervalued: its trailing PE of 19 is well under the industry average of 34.6, and the DCF‑derived fair value of €33.75 implies roughly a 3% discount to current price with an upside potential of over 30% when considering the broader upside/downside metric. Revenue is growing at 5% YoY, margins remain modest but stable, and a 2.15% dividend yield backed by a 40% payout ratio signals sustainable cash returns. Low beta (~0.27) and a 44% 30‑day volatility profile suggest limited market‑wide correlation but heightened price swings, while decreasing volume points to a potential liquidity pinch.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near support at €31.86 with RSI indicating oversold conditions
- Bullish MACD histogram despite overall neutral trend
- Decreasing volume raising short‑term liquidity concerns
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervaluation relative to peers (PE 19 vs industry 34.6)
- Upside potential of ~30% from DCF fair value and analyst targets
- Sustainable dividend yield of 2.15% with a 40% payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Stable cash generation (operating cash flow €418M, free cash flow €260M)
- Low market beta indicating defensive characteristics
- Consistent revenue growth and solid ROE (~11%) supporting long‑term earnings
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.10%
Profit Margin3.39%
P/E Ratio19.1
ROE11.24%
ROA4.90%
Debt/Equity37.45
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow€417.8M
Free Cash Flow€260.0M
Industry P/E34.6
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI35.1
Support€31.86
Resistance€34.90
MA 20€32.94
MA 50€38.80
MA 200€38.73
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.16
Valuation
Fair Value€33.75
Target Price€44.96
Upside/Downside37.57%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.15%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.27
Volatility44.23%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.