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BBCA:IDXPT Bank Central Asia Tbk Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

$97.43

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The fund is trading at $97.43, just below its 20‑day SMA of 97.82 but comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of 95.93 and the 200‑day SMA of 87.59, indicating a prevailing bullish bias. Price sits near the lower end of its recent range, supported by a technical floor at 94.70 and a ceiling at 100.03, while volume is on an increasing trend and the 30‑day volatility of roughly 20% suggests moderate price swings. The RSI of 51 is neutral, yet the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is labeled bearish, hinting at short‑term momentum pressure. A beta of 0.63 points to lower market‑wide risk, and the current “Extreme Greed” sentiment (Fear & Greed Index 75.68) aligns with the fund’s upward trajectory. Valuation metrics show a trailing PE of 19.8 and a dividend yield of 1.71%, which, combined with the ETF’s diversified Canadian exposure, suggest a fairly priced, income‑supporting vehicle for longer horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price marginally below 20‑day SMA
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Increasing volume supports stability

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • SMA hierarchy (20 > 50 > 200) bullish
  • Support level intact at 94.70
  • Fundamental PE near market average

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified Canadian equity exposure
  • Sustainable dividend yield of 1.71%
  • Low beta indicating reduced market volatility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio19.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI51.2
Support$94.70
Resistance$100.03
MA 20$97.82
MA 50$95.93
MA 200$87.59
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.68

Valuation

GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.71%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.63
Volatility19.98%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.