BBCA:IDXPT Bank Central Asia Tbk Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
$97.43
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The fund is trading at $97.43, just below its 20‑day SMA of 97.82 but comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of 95.93 and the 200‑day SMA of 87.59, indicating a prevailing bullish bias. Price sits near the lower end of its recent range, supported by a technical floor at 94.70 and a ceiling at 100.03, while volume is on an increasing trend and the 30‑day volatility of roughly 20% suggests moderate price swings. The RSI of 51 is neutral, yet the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is labeled bearish, hinting at short‑term momentum pressure. A beta of 0.63 points to lower market‑wide risk, and the current “Extreme Greed” sentiment (Fear & Greed Index 75.68) aligns with the fund’s upward trajectory. Valuation metrics show a trailing PE of 19.8 and a dividend yield of 1.71%, which, combined with the ETF’s diversified Canadian exposure, suggest a fairly priced, income‑supporting vehicle for longer horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price marginally below 20‑day SMA
- Bearish MACD histogram
- Increasing volume supports stability
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- SMA hierarchy (20 > 50 > 200) bullish
- Support level intact at 94.70
- Fundamental PE near market average
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Diversified Canadian equity exposure
- Sustainable dividend yield of 1.71%
- Low beta indicating reduced market volatility
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
P/E Ratio19.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI51.2
Support$94.70
Resistance$100.03
MA 20$97.82
MA 50$95.93
MA 200$87.59
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.68
Valuation
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.71%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.63
Volatility19.98%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.