BAM:TSX
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. Class A
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
CA$61.53
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Brookfield Asset Management is trading at CAD 61.53, well below its 20‑day (66.92), 50‑day (69.53) and 200‑day (75.99) moving averages, with a 14‑day RSI of 33.8 and a bearish MACD histogram, signaling short‑term weakness. The stock’s forward PE of 20.4 dwarfs the industry average of 17.3 and its DCF fair value of ~CAD 32.7 suggests the market is pricing in a significant premium, while a payout ratio of 113% raises concerns about dividend sustainability despite a 4.47% yield.
Fundamentally, BAM posted record 2025 results – revenue up 31% to CAD 4.8 bn, operating margin of 68% and fee‑related earnings up 28% YoY – supported by a record CAD 35 bn capital raise in Q4 and a 15% dividend increase. Strong cash generation (free cash flow ~CAD 1.44 bn) and exposure to renewable power and infrastructure position the company for long‑term growth, but valuation gaps and elevated volatility (42% 30‑day) warrant a cautious stance.
Fundamentally, BAM posted record 2025 results – revenue up 31% to CAD 4.8 bn, operating margin of 68% and fee‑related earnings up 28% YoY – supported by a record CAD 35 bn capital raise in Q4 and a 15% dividend increase. Strong cash generation (free cash flow ~CAD 1.44 bn) and exposure to renewable power and infrastructure position the company for long‑term growth, but valuation gaps and elevated volatility (42% 30‑day) warrant a cautious stance.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical indicators (price below all SMAs, RSI < 35)
- Significant valuation premium to DCF and peers
- Dividend payout ratio exceeding 100% suggests unsustainability
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Robust earnings growth and record capital raising
- High dividend yield but payout concerns
- Potential price correction as valuation aligns with fundamentals
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strategic exposure to renewable energy and infrastructure assets
- Strong cash flow generation and expanding fee‑related earnings
- Long‑term upside from global asset management demand despite short‑term overvaluation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth31.10%
Profit Margin51.59%
P/E Ratio29.4
ROE22.31%
ROA12.15%
Debt/Equity28.52
P/B Ratio9.0
Op. Cash FlowCA$2.1B
Free Cash FlowCA$1.4B
Industry P/E17.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI33.8
SupportCA$60.25
ResistanceCA$72.59
MA 20CA$66.92
MA 50CA$69.53
MA 200CA$75.99
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91
Valuation
Fair ValueCA$32.71
Target PriceCA$82.53
Upside/Downside34.13%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield4.47%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.21
Volatility42.14%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
More Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.