ATRL:TSXAtkinsrealis Group Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
CA$91.70
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
AtkinsRéalis delivered a **13% year‑over‑year revenue increase** and a record **CAD 21.2 billion backlog**, underscoring strong demand across its engineering and nuclear segments. The company’s **trailing P/E of 5.95** is dramatically below the industry average of 29, while its **ROE of 56%** signals efficient capital use, yet the **DCF fair‑value estimate of CAD 67.9** is well under the current price of **CAD 91.7**, indicating a valuation gap. Operating margins remain modest (≈6% gross, 6% operating) and volatility is high (≈50% 30‑day), with a **beta of 0.94** suggesting market‑aligned price swings. Recent earnings calls highlighted a surge in nuclear work and a successful **highway 407 asset sale**, further diversifying cash flow sources.
The dividend is modest (**0.09% yield**) with an ultra‑low payout ratio (**0.5%**), making it highly sustainable. Technicals show a **bearish MACD** and RSI near 42, positioning the stock in a neutral to slightly bearish short‑term stance, while the broader “Greed” sentiment (fear‑greed index 72.9) reflects market optimism. Overall, the firm’s growth fundamentals are solid, but current pricing appears stretched relative to intrinsic estimates.
The dividend is modest (**0.09% yield**) with an ultra‑low payout ratio (**0.5%**), making it highly sustainable. Technicals show a **bearish MACD** and RSI near 42, positioning the stock in a neutral to slightly bearish short‑term stance, while the broader “Greed” sentiment (fear‑greed index 72.9) reflects market optimism. Overall, the firm’s growth fundamentals are solid, but current pricing appears stretched relative to intrinsic estimates.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and neutral RSI suggest limited upside
- Current price above DCF fair value
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and expanding backlog
- Low P/E relative to peers
- Sustained dividend with ultra‑low payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- High ROE and solid cash generation
- Diversified geographic footprint reduces single‑market exposure
- Growth potential in nuclear and infrastructure projects
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth13.40%
Profit Margin23.89%
P/E Ratio6.0
ROE56.49%
ROA3.81%
Debt/Equity23.49
P/B Ratio2.7
Op. Cash FlowCA$461.3M
Free Cash FlowCA$477.4M
Industry P/E29.1
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI41.7
SupportCA$87.11
ResistanceCA$98.24
MA 20CA$94.32
MA 50CA$95.97
MA 200CA$95.04
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueCA$67.92
Target PriceCA$118.27
Upside/Downside28.97%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.09%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.94
Volatility50.02%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.