ASTOR:BISTASTOR FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-12 - not real-time
$21.69
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At $21.69, Astoria Real Asset ETF shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 2.4%. Relative strength is 61.5 — approaching overbought — and the MACD signal is bullish. Price has been bracketed by support at $20.57 and resistance at $21.82.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as balanced.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 13.9%, a beta of 0.12 and a maximum drawdown of 8.0%, position sizing matters here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is buy while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as balanced.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 13.9%, a beta of 0.12 and a maximum drawdown of 8.0%, position sizing matters here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is buy while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 20.51
- MACD momentum is positive
- Thin trading liquidity raises execution risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 20.51
- MACD momentum is positive
- Thin trading liquidity raises execution risk
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Thin trading liquidity raises execution risk
- 30-day volatility of 13.9%
- Beta of 0.12 versus the benchmark
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price21.6899
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI61.5
Support$20.57
Resistance$21.82
MA 20$21.20
MA 50$21.24
MA 200$20.51
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.41
Risk Assessment
Beta0.12
Volatility13.93%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.