AGHOL:BISTAG Anadolu Grubu Holding Anonim Sirketi Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
TRY 28.60
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
AG Anadolu Grubu Holding trades around 28.6 TRY, just below its 200‑day SMA of 28.7 and the identified support level of 27.98, signaling a potential floor. The RSI of 27 places the stock in oversold territory, while the MACD remains bearish, suggesting short‑term downside pressure but also a possible reversal point. Valuation metrics are compelling: the DCF‑derived fair value of 213 TRY implies an upside of over 50%, the price‑to‑earnings ratio of 27 is modestly below the industry average of 29.3, and the price‑to‑book of 0.61 underscores deep discounting. Dividend sustainability appears mixed; a 1.77% yield with a 48% payout is attractive, yet negative free cash flow raises caution. The company’s volatility is high at 31%, but beta is low (0.2), indicating limited market‑wide price swings. Overall, the stock presents a strong value case amid a risk‑laden Turkish macro environment.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Oversold RSI indicating potential bounce
- Price near key support level
- Bearish MACD but close proximity to 200‑day SMA
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Attractive valuation multiples vs industry
- Dividend yield with moderate payout ratio
- Stable operating cash flow despite negative free cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF upside exceeding 50%
- Strong analyst consensus (strong buy)
- Diversified conglomerate structure providing resilience
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin0.35%
P/E Ratio27.0
ROE6.18%
ROA3.35%
Debt/Equity47.57
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash FlowTRY62.5B
Free Cash FlowTRY-28885786624
Industry P/E29.3
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI27.1
SupportTRY 27.98
ResistanceTRY 36.64
MA 20TRY 32.20
MA 50TRY 32.97
MA 200TRY 28.70
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index79.45
Valuation
Fair ValueTRY 213.13
Target PriceTRY 43.03
Upside/Downside50.44%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.77%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.20
Volatility31.32%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.