AEP:NASDAQAmerican Electric Power Company, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
$131.86
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
AEP is trading at $131.86, comfortably above its 20‑day ($129.68), 50‑day ($122.43) and 200‑day ($114.34) simple moving averages, signaling a bullish price momentum. The 14‑day RSI sits at 64, indicating strength but still room before overbought territory. MACD shows a modest bearish histogram, yet the overall trend remains upward. Current support sits near $119.71 with resistance at $134.60, placing the stock within a tight upside corridor. The discounted cash‑flow model values AEP at $125.29, implying a modest 3.4% premium to fair value. At a trailing P/E of 19.8 the stock is slightly cheaper than the utilities sector average of 20.8, while its price‑to‑book of 2.29 reflects a reasonable premium to book value. Revenue growth of 13% year‑over‑year and an operating margin of 22.8% underscore robust earnings power. A dividend yield of 2.88% coupled with a 56% payout ratio suggests a sustainable income stream.
Recent earnings released $6.70 GAAP EPS, beating expectations, and analysts from TD Cowen and Wolfe Research upgraded their price targets to $141 and $137 respectively. The market sentiment index reads “Extreme Greed” at 75.9, reinforcing bullish bias. AEP’s beta of 0.09 (computed) and 30‑day volatility of 18.7% indicate low systematic risk and moderate price swings. The company’s regulated utility business, U.S.‑centric operations, and strong cash‑flow generation mitigate geographic and currency exposure. However, a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 154% and negative free cash flow highlight leverage concerns that investors should monitor. Overall, the blend of solid growth, attractive dividend yield, and favorable analyst sentiment positions AEP as a compelling buy for investors with short‑ to long‑term horizons.
Recent earnings released $6.70 GAAP EPS, beating expectations, and analysts from TD Cowen and Wolfe Research upgraded their price targets to $141 and $137 respectively. The market sentiment index reads “Extreme Greed” at 75.9, reinforcing bullish bias. AEP’s beta of 0.09 (computed) and 30‑day volatility of 18.7% indicate low systematic risk and moderate price swings. The company’s regulated utility business, U.S.‑centric operations, and strong cash‑flow generation mitigate geographic and currency exposure. However, a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 154% and negative free cash flow highlight leverage concerns that investors should monitor. Overall, the blend of solid growth, attractive dividend yield, and favorable analyst sentiment positions AEP as a compelling buy for investors with short‑ to long‑term horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price above key moving averages and strong bullish trend
- Recent earnings beat and analyst upgrades
- Support level provides downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- 13% revenue growth and solid operating margins
- Sustainable dividend yield of 2.88% with moderate payout
- Fair valuation relative to sector peers
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Regulated utility business offering stable cash flows
- Long‑term load growth target of 56 GW by 2030
- Attractive dividend and reasonable long‑run valuation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth13.20%
Profit Margin16.36%
P/E Ratio19.8
ROE12.49%
ROA3.17%
Debt/Equity154.24
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow$6.9B
Free Cash Flow$-5140375040
Industry P/E20.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI64.0
Support$119.71
Resistance$134.60
MA 20$129.68
MA 50$122.43
MA 200$114.34
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.89
Valuation
Fair Value$125.29
Target Price$136.37
Upside/Downside3.42%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.88%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.09
Volatility18.70%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.