ADS:XETRadidas AG Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-31 - not real-time
$234.20
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Autodesk (ADS) presents a compelling entry point as the market price sits well below the discounted cash flow fair‑value estimate, implying a material upside potential. Technical momentum is supportive, with the price above both the 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, a bullish MACD crossover, and an RSI in the low 60s suggesting continued strength without being overbought.
Analyst sentiment is strongly positive, reflected in a “strong buy” consensus and a high forward earnings multiple relative to peers, underscoring confidence in the company's growth trajectory. While volatility is elevated, the low beta indicates limited systematic risk, and the balance sheet shows ample cash relative to debt, supporting ongoing innovation and acquisition capacity.
Analyst sentiment is strongly positive, reflected in a “strong buy” consensus and a high forward earnings multiple relative to peers, underscoring confidence in the company's growth trajectory. While volatility is elevated, the low beta indicates limited systematic risk, and the balance sheet shows ample cash relative to debt, supporting ongoing innovation and acquisition capacity.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Price trading above short‑term moving averages
- Bullish MACD histogram
- Increasing volume supporting momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair‑value gap indicating upside
- Robust revenue growth and high operating margins
- Strong analyst consensus with a “strong buy” rating
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable cash generation and low leverage
- Leadership position in cloud‑based design software
- Long‑term secular demand for digital construction and media tools
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth18.40%
Profit Margin19.49%
P/E Ratio34.1
ROE50.40%
ROA11.32%
Debt/Equity85.42
P/B Ratio15.5
Op. Cash Flow$2.8B
Free Cash Flow$3.1B
Industry P/E32.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI61.2
Support$198.01
Resistance$249.14
MA 20$216.53
MA 50$215.89
MA 200$253.84
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Valuation
Fair Value$396.06
Target Price$313.89
Upside/Downside34.03%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.41
Volatility43.80%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.