ABNB:NASDAQAirbnb, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
$134.03
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Airbnb is trading above its short‑term moving average while remaining below longer‑term averages, suggesting a neutral to slightly positive technical stance. Momentum indicators such as the RSI point to a balanced market, and the MACD histogram remains in bullish territory, supporting modest upside potential. The stock benefits from strong profitability metrics, high return on equity, and recent analyst upgrades, but faces elevated volatility, a beta indicating higher sensitivity to market moves, and geopolitical tensions that could dampen travel demand.
Given the modest upside to intrinsic value, solid cash generation, and decreasing short interest, the near‑term outlook is cautiously optimistic, though investors should monitor travel‑related geopolitical developments and sector cyclicality.
Given the modest upside to intrinsic value, solid cash generation, and decreasing short interest, the near‑term outlook is cautiously optimistic, though investors should monitor travel‑related geopolitical developments and sector cyclicality.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Technical indicators showing modest bullish bias
- Elevated volatility and beta
- Recent geopolitical headlines affecting travel sentiment
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong operating margins and cash flow generation
- Analyst upgrades and decreasing short interest
- DCF valuation indicating modest upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable growth in revenue and profit margins
- High return on equity and robust balance sheet
- Long‑term secular trend toward alternative travel accommodations
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth12.00%
Profit Margin20.51%
P/E Ratio33.3
ROE30.23%
ROA7.37%
Debt/Equity27.70
P/B Ratio9.8
Op. Cash Flow$4.6B
Free Cash Flow$3.5B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI56.7
Support$115.53
Resistance$139.00
MA 20$127.92
MA 50$130.95
MA 200$128.52
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.89
Valuation
Fair Value$150.15
Target Price$144.83
Upside/Downside8.06%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.30
Volatility39.94%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.