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ABNB:NASDAQAirbnb, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

$134.03

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Airbnb is trading above its short‑term moving average while remaining below longer‑term averages, suggesting a neutral to slightly positive technical stance. Momentum indicators such as the RSI point to a balanced market, and the MACD histogram remains in bullish territory, supporting modest upside potential. The stock benefits from strong profitability metrics, high return on equity, and recent analyst upgrades, but faces elevated volatility, a beta indicating higher sensitivity to market moves, and geopolitical tensions that could dampen travel demand.
Given the modest upside to intrinsic value, solid cash generation, and decreasing short interest, the near‑term outlook is cautiously optimistic, though investors should monitor travel‑related geopolitical developments and sector cyclicality.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Technical indicators showing modest bullish bias
  • Elevated volatility and beta
  • Recent geopolitical headlines affecting travel sentiment

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong operating margins and cash flow generation
  • Analyst upgrades and decreasing short interest
  • DCF valuation indicating modest upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable growth in revenue and profit margins
  • High return on equity and robust balance sheet
  • Long‑term secular trend toward alternative travel accommodations

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth12.00%
Profit Margin20.51%
P/E Ratio33.3
ROE30.23%
ROA7.37%
Debt/Equity27.70
P/B Ratio9.8
Op. Cash Flow$4.6B
Free Cash Flow$3.5B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI56.7
Support$115.53
Resistance$139.00
MA 20$127.92
MA 50$130.95
MA 200$128.52
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.89

Valuation

Fair Value$150.15
Target Price$144.83
Upside/Downside8.06%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.30
Volatility39.94%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.