AAK:OMXSTOAAK AB Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time
SEK 253.80
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
AAK AB is trading at SEK 253.8, just below its 20‑day SMA of SEK 261.6 and marginally under the 200‑day SMA of SEK 254.7, indicating a slight short‑term weakness. The RSI of 43 and a bearish MACD histogram suggest limited upside momentum, while the price sits near the identified support level of SEK 247.6 and well below the resistance of SEK 272. Volume is trending upward, yet the 30‑day volatility of ~31% and an ultra‑low beta of 0.09 point to a stock that is relatively insulated from market swings but can experience sharp price swings. Fundamentals show a PE of 19.1 (fair), a solid dividend yield of 2.17% with a 38% payout ratio, and a DCF‑derived fair value of SEK 32.8, implying the current market price is significantly above intrinsic estimates. The balance sheet carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 18.2, though operating cash flow remains healthy, supporting dividend sustainability.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and price below 20‑day SMA
- Proximity to support at SEK 247.6
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Stable dividend yield and sustainable payout
- Low beta indicating defensive profile
- Overvalued price relative to DCF fair value
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Attractive dividend yield in a defensive sector
- Strong cash flow generation supporting debt repayment
- Potential price correction aligning market price with intrinsic value
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-3.00%
Profit Margin7.57%
P/E Ratio19.1
ROE16.88%
ROA8.87%
Debt/Equity18.17
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash FlowSEK2.7B
Free Cash FlowSEK837.2M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI43.3
SupportSEK 247.60
ResistanceSEK 272.00
MA 20SEK 261.61
MA 50SEK 248.09
MA 200SEK 254.67
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Fair ValueSEK 32.83
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.17%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.09
Volatility31.02%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.