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9992:HKEXPop Mart International Group Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-28 - not real-time

HK$162.80

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Pop Mart is trading below its short‑term moving averages, indicating a bearish technical backdrop, while the MACD histogram remains positive and the RSI sits near the midpoint, suggesting limited downside momentum. Volume has been tapering, and the 30‑day volatility is elevated, which aligns with a market sentiment of extreme greed that could fuel a short‑term bounce.
Fundamentally, the company delivers exceptional profitability margins, a robust return on equity, and a very low dividend payout ratio, underscoring strong cash generation and dividend sustainability. The discounted cash‑flow model points to a substantial valuation gap, and analyst consensus remains bullish with a buy recommendation, making the stock appear significantly undervalued relative to its earnings and book value.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term averages
  • Positive MACD histogram but decreasing volume
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation upside versus DCF estimate
  • Strong profit margins and cash flow generation
  • Low payout ratio supporting dividend sustainability

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • High return on equity and durable brand appeal
  • Undervalued relative to earnings and book value
  • Consistent analyst buy consensus and growth trajectory

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth174.10%
Profit Margin34.42%
P/E Ratio14.7
ROE77.60%
ROA45.32%
Debt/Equity12.63
P/B Ratio8.4
Op. Cash FlowHK$10.9B
Free Cash FlowHK$9.1B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI52.6
SupportHK$147.10
ResistanceHK$170.90
MA 20HK$157.83
MA 50HK$162.16
MA 200HK$195.13
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.7

Valuation

Fair ValueHK$253.68
Target PriceHK$213.94
Upside/Downside31.42%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.65%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.69
Volatility35.27%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.