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9992:HKEXPop Mart International Group Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-11 - not real-time

HK$153.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Pop Mart International Group Limited trades at HKD 153.00, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. The last 30 days have lost 5.9%. Relative strength is 45.2 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bullish. The recent range runs from support at HKD 140.10 up to resistance at HKD 159.90.
Valuation screens as fair, on a P/E of 13.2 with no clean sector comparison available. The average analyst target implies 18.1% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 23.8% on a 32.8% profit margin. The 1.78% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 7 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 25.7%, a beta of 0.83 and a maximum drawdown of 50.8%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 1/10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 181.12
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 181.12
  • Analyst targets imply +18.1% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst targets imply +18.1% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 32.8% is healthy
  • Revenue growth of +23.8%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth23.80%
Profit Margin32.76%
P/E Ratio13.2
ROE71.22%
ROA44.33%
Debt/Equity16.01
P/B Ratio7.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI45.2
SupportHK$140.10
ResistanceHK$159.90
MA 20HK$154.03
MA 50HK$156.62
MA 200HK$181.12
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Valuation

Target PriceHK$180.65
Upside/Downside18.07%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.78%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.83
Volatility25.67%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.