9896:HKEXMINISO Group Holding Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-10 - not real-time
HK$17.78
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
MINISO Group Holding Limited is priced at HKD 17.78 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 30.9%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 23.7 (oversold) with MACD reading bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near HKD 17.75 and resistance around HKD 23.54.
The shares look undervalued at 14.8 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. Sell-side targets cluster 68.0% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 17.0% on a 5.4% profit margin. The 7.04% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 7 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 51.5%, a beta of 0.49 and a maximum drawdown of 64.1%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 3/10 conviction.
The shares look undervalued at 14.8 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. Sell-side targets cluster 68.0% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 17.0% on a 5.4% profit margin. The 7.04% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 7 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 51.5%, a beta of 0.49 and a maximum drawdown of 64.1%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 3/10 conviction.
Top Market Events
Updated Aug 14, 2026 0 GUANGZHOU, China, Aug.GUANGZHOU, China, April 24, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- MINISO Group Holding Limited NYSE: MNSO; HKEX: 9896 'MINISO', 'MINISO...MINISO Announces Annual General Meeting On June 18, 2026 And Filing Of Annual Report On Form 20-F.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 23.7 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 30.42
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 23.7 signals oversold conditions
- Dividend yield of 7.04% looks stretched against payout coverage
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Dividend yield of 7.04% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Analyst targets imply +68.0% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +17.0%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth17.00%
Profit Margin5.35%
P/E Ratio14.8
ROE11.82%
ROA7.32%
Debt/Equity126.84
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash FlowHK$3.0B
Free Cash FlowHK$2.3B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI23.7
SupportHK$17.75
ResistanceHK$23.54
MA 20HK$20.32
MA 50HK$22.67
MA 200HK$30.42
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.04
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$43.90
Target PriceHK$29.87
Upside/Downside67.99%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield7.04%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.49
Volatility51.48%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.