600346:SSEHengli Petrochemical Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Hengli Petrochemical trades at CNY 22.14, sitting below its 20‑day (24.43) and 50‑day (24.27) moving averages but comfortably above the 200‑day SMA (18.55), suggesting short‑term weakness within a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI of 39.9 hints at nearing oversold conditions, while a bearish MACD (line below signal) and a looming support at 21.30 add technical caution. On the fundamentals side, revenue has contracted 18% YoY, margins are thin (gross 11.4%, profit 3.2%), and the balance sheet is highly leveraged with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 253%, yet the company generates solid operating cash flow (CNY 22.75 bn) and pays a 2.31% dividend backed by a 54% payout ratio. Valuation metrics show a PE of 23.3 (forward 20.5) and a price‑to‑sales of 0.72, indicating the stock may be fairly priced relative to earnings but appears cheap on a sales basis. Volatility is elevated at nearly 60% over 30 days, but beta is essentially neutral, reducing market‑wide systematic risk. The fear‑greed index reads “Extreme Greed,” reflecting strong investor appetite despite the mixed signals.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Price hovering just above key support (21.30)
- Increasing volume suggests potential short‑term bounce
- Bearish MACD and RSI near oversold levels
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Attractive dividend yield (2.31%) with sustainable payout
- High leverage (Debt/Equity 253%) limits upside
- Price still below 52‑week high, offering upside potential
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Low price‑to‑sales (0.72) signals valuation cushion
- Stable cash flow supports dividend continuity
- Potential recovery in petrochemical demand could improve earnings
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.