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600346:SSEHengli Petrochemical Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

CN¥22.14

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Hengli Petrochemical trades at CNY 22.14, sitting below its 20‑day (24.43) and 50‑day (24.27) moving averages but comfortably above the 200‑day SMA (18.55), suggesting short‑term weakness within a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI of 39.9 hints at nearing oversold conditions, while a bearish MACD (line below signal) and a looming support at 21.30 add technical caution. On the fundamentals side, revenue has contracted 18% YoY, margins are thin (gross 11.4%, profit 3.2%), and the balance sheet is highly leveraged with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 253%, yet the company generates solid operating cash flow (CNY 22.75 bn) and pays a 2.31% dividend backed by a 54% payout ratio. Valuation metrics show a PE of 23.3 (forward 20.5) and a price‑to‑sales of 0.72, indicating the stock may be fairly priced relative to earnings but appears cheap on a sales basis. Volatility is elevated at nearly 60% over 30 days, but beta is essentially neutral, reducing market‑wide systematic risk. The fear‑greed index reads “Extreme Greed,” reflecting strong investor appetite despite the mixed signals.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above key support (21.30)
  • Increasing volume suggests potential short‑term bounce
  • Bearish MACD and RSI near oversold levels

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive dividend yield (2.31%) with sustainable payout
  • High leverage (Debt/Equity 253%) limits upside
  • Price still below 52‑week high, offering upside potential

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low price‑to‑sales (0.72) signals valuation cushion
  • Stable cash flow supports dividend continuity
  • Potential recovery in petrochemical demand could improve earnings

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-18.00%
Profit Margin3.22%
P/E Ratio23.3
ROE11.05%
ROA2.67%
Debt/Equity252.88
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash FlowCN¥22.8B
Free Cash FlowCN¥5.4B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI39.9
SupportCN¥21.30
ResistanceCN¥27.00
MA 20CN¥24.43
MA 50CN¥24.27
MA 200CN¥18.55
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.31%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.01
Volatility59.65%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.