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9831:TSEYamada Holding Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

¥538.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Yamada Holdings is trading just above a key support level, with the 20‑day moving average still above the current price, suggesting short‑term pressure, while the 200‑day average remains well below, underpinning a longer‑term bullish bias. RSI hovering in the mid‑30s points to oversold conditions, yet the MACD histogram remains negative, indicating lingering bearish momentum. Volume has been on the rise, supporting the notion that buyers may be stepping in as price tests support.
Fundamentally, the stock trades at a low price‑to‑book and price‑to‑sales multiple and offers a 3%+ dividend yield, but the company carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio and reports zero operating cash flow, raising questions about dividend sustainability. The sector’s consumer‑cyclical nature adds earnings sensitivity to economic swings, while an exceptionally low beta suggests limited market‑wide volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support
  • Oversold RSI indicating potential bounce
  • Negative MACD histogram suggesting caution

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Flat revenue growth and modest operating margins
  • High leverage (debt‑to‑equity > 50%)
  • Attractive valuation multiples but cash flow concerns

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Significant discount to book value and low price‑to‑sales ratio
  • Stable dividend yield for income‑focused investors
  • Low beta indicating limited market volatility over time

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio13.9
ROE3.82%
ROA1.71%
Debt/Equity52.91
P/B Ratio0.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI37.4
Support¥537.80
Resistance¥583.10
MA 20¥561.86
MA 50¥547.16
MA 200¥485.26
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target Price¥545.00
Upside/Downside1.30%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.16%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.06
Volatility19.12%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.