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9766:TSEKONAMI Group Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

¥18,970.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Konami Group Corp (9766.T) is trading at ¥18,970, which sits below its 20‑day (¥19,495), 50‑day (¥19,713) and 200‑day (¥21,223) simple moving averages, signaling a short‑term bearish bias. The 14‑day RSI of 44 and a MACD histogram of -41 reinforce the downside momentum, while volume is on a decreasing trend, adding pressure to the price. Despite the technical weakness, the company reported a 33.9% profit increase for fiscal 2026 and posted a robust revenue growth rate of 27%, with operating margins near 30% and a healthy ROE of 19%. Valuation metrics show a trailing P/E of 25.7 versus an industry average of 17.1, suggesting the stock is priced at a premium, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥19,481 is only modestly above the current price, indicating limited upside. The dividend yield of 1.16% with a payout ratio around 30% appears sustainable given strong cash generation and a low debt‑to‑equity of 9.8. Overall, the stock presents a mixed picture: technical indicators are bearish, but fundamentals and recent earnings momentum support a neutral‑to‑positive outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and price below all major SMAs
  • Decreasing trading volume
  • Proximity to identified support level at ¥18,525

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • 33.9% YoY profit surge and 27% revenue growth
  • DCF fair value modestly above market price
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash position and low leverage
  • Diversified entertainment and gaming portfolio
  • Consistently high operating margins and ROE

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth27.00%
Profit Margin20.26%
P/E Ratio25.7
ROE19.11%
ROA12.79%
Debt/Equity9.82
P/B Ratio4.6
Op. Cash Flow¥135.7B
Free Cash Flow¥66.4B
Industry P/E17.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI44.0
Support¥18,525.00
Resistance¥20,685.00
MA 20¥19,495.75
MA 50¥19,713.50
MA 200¥21,223.03
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.71

Valuation

Fair Value¥19,481.47
Target Price¥25,655.00
Upside/Downside35.24%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.16%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.16
Volatility54.42%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.