We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

9602:TSEToho Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

SAR 9.40

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Yaqeen Capital trades at a price dramatically below its discounted cash‑flow estimate, suggesting a deep discount relative to intrinsic value. The stock’s price‑to‑earnings multiple sits well under the industry average, while the price‑to‑book ratio is below one, indicating a potentially attractive entry point. Balance‑sheet strength is highlighted by ample cash reserves and modest debt, and profitability metrics such as gross and operating margins are robust. However, the technical picture is bearish, with the 20‑day moving average below the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, and the MACD line turning negative beneath its signal. Momentum indicators show the RSI in the lower‑mid range, implying limited upside momentum and some oversold pressure. Volatility has surged over the past month, and the stock has experienced a sizable drawdown from recent peaks, underscoring heightened price swings.
The bearish trend is reinforced by a support level just above the current price and a resistance ceiling that remains out of reach, limiting short‑term upside. Low beta suggests limited correlation with broader market moves, but the sector’s inherent regulatory and credit sensitivities add a layer of risk. Absence of dividend payouts removes a cushion for income‑focused investors. Given the strong fundamentals but weak technicals, the stock may be poised for a rebound if market sentiment improves, yet investors should remain cautious of further downside in the near term.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical indicators (MACD, SMA crossovers)
  • Current price near immediate support
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant undervaluation versus DCF fair value
  • Strong balance sheet with excess cash
  • Low price‑to‑book and PE relative to peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental strengths in profitability and capital position
  • Potential for sector growth as Saudi financial services expand
  • Low beta indicating limited market‑wide downside exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth17.00%
Profit Margin26.21%
P/E Ratio9.5
ROE9.06%
ROA7.94%
Debt/Equity2.00
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash FlowSAR34.4M
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI38.6
SupportSAR 9.23
ResistanceSAR 10.40
MA 20SAR 9.88
MA 50SAR 9.95
MA 200SAR 10.58
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueSAR 29.55
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.28
Volatility41.86%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.