9602:TSEToho Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
SAR 9.40
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Yaqeen Capital trades at a price dramatically below its discounted cash‑flow estimate, suggesting a deep discount relative to intrinsic value. The stock’s price‑to‑earnings multiple sits well under the industry average, while the price‑to‑book ratio is below one, indicating a potentially attractive entry point. Balance‑sheet strength is highlighted by ample cash reserves and modest debt, and profitability metrics such as gross and operating margins are robust. However, the technical picture is bearish, with the 20‑day moving average below the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, and the MACD line turning negative beneath its signal. Momentum indicators show the RSI in the lower‑mid range, implying limited upside momentum and some oversold pressure. Volatility has surged over the past month, and the stock has experienced a sizable drawdown from recent peaks, underscoring heightened price swings.
The bearish trend is reinforced by a support level just above the current price and a resistance ceiling that remains out of reach, limiting short‑term upside. Low beta suggests limited correlation with broader market moves, but the sector’s inherent regulatory and credit sensitivities add a layer of risk. Absence of dividend payouts removes a cushion for income‑focused investors. Given the strong fundamentals but weak technicals, the stock may be poised for a rebound if market sentiment improves, yet investors should remain cautious of further downside in the near term.
The bearish trend is reinforced by a support level just above the current price and a resistance ceiling that remains out of reach, limiting short‑term upside. Low beta suggests limited correlation with broader market moves, but the sector’s inherent regulatory and credit sensitivities add a layer of risk. Absence of dividend payouts removes a cushion for income‑focused investors. Given the strong fundamentals but weak technicals, the stock may be poised for a rebound if market sentiment improves, yet investors should remain cautious of further downside in the near term.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical indicators (MACD, SMA crossovers)
- Current price near immediate support
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant undervaluation versus DCF fair value
- Strong balance sheet with excess cash
- Low price‑to‑book and PE relative to peers
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Fundamental strengths in profitability and capital position
- Potential for sector growth as Saudi financial services expand
- Low beta indicating limited market‑wide downside exposure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth17.00%
Profit Margin26.21%
P/E Ratio9.5
ROE9.06%
ROA7.94%
Debt/Equity2.00
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash FlowSAR34.4M
Industry P/E16.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI38.6
SupportSAR 9.23
ResistanceSAR 10.40
MA 20SAR 9.88
MA 50SAR 9.95
MA 200SAR 10.58
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueSAR 29.55
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.28
Volatility41.86%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.