9531:TSETOKYO GAS Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
¥7,658.00
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Tokyo Gas is trading at 7,658 JPY, just above its 20‑day SMA of 7,646 and comfortably under the 52‑week high of 7,967, confirming a short‑term bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram of –54.9. Volume is increasing, supporting the upward price pressure, while the RSI of 57.6 indicates the stock is not yet overbought. The price sits above the identified support at 7,321 JPY, giving a cushion against downside, and the current trend direction is flagged as bullish. However, the MACD signal line sits above the MACD line, suggesting potential momentum weakening ahead. The Fear & Greed Index reads 76.91, labeled “Extreme Greed,” which may be inflating short‑term optimism.
Fundamentally, the stock’s trailing PE of 14.8 is well below the industry average of 20.7, pointing to an undervalued valuation relative to peers. A dividend yield of 1.34% paired with a modest 18% payout ratio signals sustainable income. Low beta (≈0.09) and a volatility of ~30% over 30 days imply limited price swings and defensive characteristics typical of utilities. Overall, the combination of defensive sector traits, attractive valuation, and dividend sustainability supports a longer‑term buy case, while near‑term positioning remains best kept on hold.
Fundamentally, the stock’s trailing PE of 14.8 is well below the industry average of 20.7, pointing to an undervalued valuation relative to peers. A dividend yield of 1.34% paired with a modest 18% payout ratio signals sustainable income. Low beta (≈0.09) and a volatility of ~30% over 30 days imply limited price swings and defensive characteristics typical of utilities. Overall, the combination of defensive sector traits, attractive valuation, and dividend sustainability supports a longer‑term buy case, while near‑term positioning remains best kept on hold.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above 20‑day SMA and rising volume
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating potential momentum fade
- Support level at 7,321 JPY remains intact
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued PE relative to industry peers
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
- Defensive utility sector with low beta
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Stable cash flows and defensive sector positioning
- Attractive valuation gap and low relative volatility
- Consistent dividend yield supporting total return
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin7.31%
P/E Ratio14.8
ROE12.13%
ROA3.25%
Debt/Equity71.53
P/B Ratio1.6
Industry P/E20.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI57.6
Support¥7,321.00
Resistance¥7,967.00
MA 20¥7,646.20
MA 50¥7,024.30
MA 200¥5,793.80
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91
Valuation
Target Price¥6,375.00
Upside/Downside-16.75%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.34%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.09
Volatility30.59%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.