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9531:TSETOKYO GAS Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

¥7,658.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Tokyo Gas is trading at 7,658 JPY, just above its 20‑day SMA of 7,646 and comfortably under the 52‑week high of 7,967, confirming a short‑term bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram of –54.9. Volume is increasing, supporting the upward price pressure, while the RSI of 57.6 indicates the stock is not yet overbought. The price sits above the identified support at 7,321 JPY, giving a cushion against downside, and the current trend direction is flagged as bullish. However, the MACD signal line sits above the MACD line, suggesting potential momentum weakening ahead. The Fear & Greed Index reads 76.91, labeled “Extreme Greed,” which may be inflating short‑term optimism.
Fundamentally, the stock’s trailing PE of 14.8 is well below the industry average of 20.7, pointing to an undervalued valuation relative to peers. A dividend yield of 1.34% paired with a modest 18% payout ratio signals sustainable income. Low beta (≈0.09) and a volatility of ~30% over 30 days imply limited price swings and defensive characteristics typical of utilities. Overall, the combination of defensive sector traits, attractive valuation, and dividend sustainability supports a longer‑term buy case, while near‑term positioning remains best kept on hold.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above 20‑day SMA and rising volume
  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating potential momentum fade
  • Support level at 7,321 JPY remains intact

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued PE relative to industry peers
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
  • Defensive utility sector with low beta

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Stable cash flows and defensive sector positioning
  • Attractive valuation gap and low relative volatility
  • Consistent dividend yield supporting total return

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin7.31%
P/E Ratio14.8
ROE12.13%
ROA3.25%
Debt/Equity71.53
P/B Ratio1.6
Industry P/E20.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI57.6
Support¥7,321.00
Resistance¥7,967.00
MA 20¥7,646.20
MA 50¥7,024.30
MA 200¥5,793.80
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Valuation

Target Price¥6,375.00
Upside/Downside-16.75%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.34%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.09
Volatility30.59%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.