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9003:TSESotetsu Holdings, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

₩494.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Coloray trades at KRW 494, dramatically below the DCF-derived fair value of KRW 5,473, suggesting a deep valuation gap. The stock is caught in a bearish technical environment, with price below the 20‑day (KRW 516), 50‑day (KRW 553) and 200‑day (KRW 659) moving averages, an RSI of 40.4 and a MACD histogram that remains negative. Despite the technical weakness, the company posted a robust 25.3% revenue growth year‑over‑year, though margins are thin (gross margin ~20%, operating margin ~3.7%) and free cash flow is negative, while debt‑to‑equity sits at a high 10.6. Volatility remains elevated at over 47% (30‑day) and the recent max drawdown approaches ‑49.7%, adding to the risk profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major moving averages
  • Bearish MACD and RSI near neutral
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap versus DCF fair value
  • Strong revenue growth of 25% YoY
  • Potential upside if cash‑flow conversion improves

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term undervaluation but high debt load
  • Low ROE and negative free cash flow
  • Exposure to regulatory and geopolitical risks in China

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth25.30%
Profit Margin1.75%
ROE0.33%
ROA0.34%
Debt/Equity10.58
Op. Cash Flow₩7.2B
Free Cash Flow₩-5108037120
Industry P/E29.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI40.4
Support₩410.00
Resistance₩604.00
MA 20₩516.15
MA 50₩553.36
MA 200₩659.15
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index80.82

Valuation

Fair Value₩5,473.65
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.18
Volatility47.02%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.