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8801:TSEMitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

¥1,967.50

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Mitsui Fudosan (8801) is trading at a forward P/E of 17.5x, well below the industry average of 33x, indicating a valuation advantage. The company delivered a robust 22% revenue growth YoY and maintains a solid dividend yield of 1.74% with a modest 29% payout ratio, supporting dividend sustainability. Technical analysis shows the stock price at ¥1,967.5 sitting above the 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs, near a support level of ¥1,894, and offering an estimated upside of about 12% while the MACD signals a short‑term bearish tilt.
The low beta (~0.2) and stable volume suggest limited market volatility, though the high debt‑to‑equity ratio (>140) introduces balance‑sheet risk. Recent earnings calls highlighted continued growth momentum, reinforcing a bullish outlook despite mixed short‑term technical signals.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with modest upside
  • MACD histogram negative indicating short‑term pressure
  • Strong dividend yield supporting stability

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth of 22% YoY
  • Undervalued P/E relative to peers
  • Positive earnings guidance from recent calls

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend and low payout ratio
  • Long‑term bullish trend above major SMAs
  • Strategic position in Japan's diversified real‑estate market

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth22.20%
Profit Margin11.08%
P/E Ratio17.5
Debt/Equity143.10
P/B Ratio1.7
Industry P/E33.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI48.4
Support¥1,894.00
Resistance¥2,158.00
MA 20¥2,048.53
MA 50¥1,906.14
MA 200¥1,637.79
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index79.75

Valuation

Target Price¥2,210.00
Upside/Downside12.33%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.74%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.20
Volatility36.30%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.