8801:TSEMitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
¥1,967.50
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Mitsui Fudosan (8801) is trading at a forward P/E of 17.5x, well below the industry average of 33x, indicating a valuation advantage. The company delivered a robust 22% revenue growth YoY and maintains a solid dividend yield of 1.74% with a modest 29% payout ratio, supporting dividend sustainability. Technical analysis shows the stock price at ¥1,967.5 sitting above the 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs, near a support level of ¥1,894, and offering an estimated upside of about 12% while the MACD signals a short‑term bearish tilt.
The low beta (~0.2) and stable volume suggest limited market volatility, though the high debt‑to‑equity ratio (>140) introduces balance‑sheet risk. Recent earnings calls highlighted continued growth momentum, reinforcing a bullish outlook despite mixed short‑term technical signals.
The low beta (~0.2) and stable volume suggest limited market volatility, though the high debt‑to‑equity ratio (>140) introduces balance‑sheet risk. Recent earnings calls highlighted continued growth momentum, reinforcing a bullish outlook despite mixed short‑term technical signals.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with modest upside
- MACD histogram negative indicating short‑term pressure
- Strong dividend yield supporting stability
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 22% YoY
- Undervalued P/E relative to peers
- Positive earnings guidance from recent calls
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend and low payout ratio
- Long‑term bullish trend above major SMAs
- Strategic position in Japan's diversified real‑estate market
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth22.20%
Profit Margin11.08%
P/E Ratio17.5
Debt/Equity143.10
P/B Ratio1.7
Industry P/E33.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI48.4
Support¥1,894.00
Resistance¥2,158.00
MA 20¥2,048.53
MA 50¥1,906.14
MA 200¥1,637.79
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index79.75
Valuation
Target Price¥2,210.00
Upside/Downside12.33%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.74%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.20
Volatility36.30%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.