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8729:TSESony Financial Group Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

¥152.40

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at ¥152.4, notably below its 20‑day (¥155.9), 50‑day (¥159.9) and 200‑day (¥156.9) simple moving averages, and the MACD line sits beneath its signal, generating a bearish histogram. RSI at 46 signals a neutral momentum, while the 30‑day volatility of over 36% and a beta of 0.5 suggest the share moves less than the market but with wide price swings. The price is hovering above the identified support of ¥146.7 and well below the resistance at ¥166.3, with a decreasing volume trend that may limit short‑term upside.
Fundamentally, the company posts a PE of 0.85 versus an industry average of 17.1, indicating a deep discount, yet earnings are thin (profit margin 1.5%) and operating margin is negative. Debt is high (debt‑to‑equity ~99) and cash flow metrics are zero, casting doubt on the sustainability of the 2.52% dividend. The balance sheet pressure combined with modest revenue growth underscores a value‑oriented profile rather than a growth story.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating downward momentum
  • Price trading below the 20‑day SMA
  • Decreasing volume trend reducing short‑term liquidity

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • PE ratio dramatically lower than industry peers
  • Attractive 2.52% dividend yield despite sustainability concerns
  • Potential upside toward resistance if support holds

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Stable insurance and financial services business model
  • Strong brand and cross‑selling opportunities within Sony Group
  • Possibility of debt restructuring improving balance‑sheet health

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin1.51%
P/E Ratio0.9
Debt/Equity98.64
P/B Ratio1.6
Industry P/E17.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI46.1
Support¥146.70
Resistance¥166.30
MA 20¥155.88
MA 50¥159.91
MA 200¥156.92
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.36

Valuation

Target Price¥185.00
Upside/Downside21.39%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.52%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.50
Volatility36.72%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.