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8630:TSESompo Holdings,Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time

¥5,676.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Sompo Holdings trades around ¥5,676, comfortably below its 20‑day (¥5,896) and 50‑day (¥5,926) simple moving averages, while the 200‑day SMA sits at ¥5,266, indicating a short‑term pullback within a longer‑term uptrend. The MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, and the RSI at 43 suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, supporting a neutral‑to‑slightly‑bearish technical outlook. Fundamentally, the company appears markedly undervalued with a trailing P/E of 8.1 versus an industry average of 16.8, a price‑to‑book of 1.02 and a dividend yield of 3.5% backed by a modest 21% payout ratio, implying dividend sustainability. Recent material news includes a large share‑repurchase program—¥18.2 billion for 3.1 million shares—signalling management confidence and capital‑return discipline, as well as regulatory clearance for the Aspen acquisition, which could broaden overseas exposure. Combined, these factors suggest upside potential toward the analyst median target of ¥6,350 while risk remains contained by low beta (0.17) and strong cash balances despite a high debt‑to‑equity ratio.**

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price below 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
  • bearish MACD signal
  • stable dividend with low payout

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • significant undervaluation relative to peers
  • large share buyback indicating confidence
  • strong cash position despite debt

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • sustainable dividend yield
  • defensive low‑beta insurance sector
  • upside potential to analyst target price

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin12.21%
P/E Ratio8.1
ROE17.39%
ROA3.70%
Debt/Equity14.27
P/B Ratio1.0
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI43.2
Support¥5,562.00
Resistance¥6,435.00
MA 20¥5,895.60
MA 50¥5,926.18
MA 200¥5,266.38
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Target Price¥6,324.45
Upside/Downside11.42%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.52%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.17
Volatility43.88%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.