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8454:TWSEmomo.com Incorporated Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

NT$182.50

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Momo.com Inc. is trading at TWD 182.5, just under its 20‑day SMA of 183.8 but well below the 50‑day SMA of 193.2, indicating short‑term weakness. The RSI sits at 45, the MACD histogram is marginally positive and the MACD signal is labeled bullish, yet the overall trend is still bearish and volatility is elevated at 22% over the past month. The stock’s dividend yield looks attractive at 6.93%, but a payout ratio above 100% (1.08) flags sustainability concerns. A DCF‑derived fair value of roughly TWD 119 suggests the market price is overvalued by about 30%, and the company’s revenue is contracting (-5.4%) with thin margins, reinforcing a value‑oriented, risk‑aware stance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term SMA20 and approaching support
  • Overvalued relative to DCF fair value
  • Dividend payout exceeds earnings, raising sustainability concerns

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Potential technical bounce as MACD turns bullish
  • Still above fair value, limiting upside
  • Revenue contraction persists, limiting growth prospects

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Structural revenue decline and thin operating margins
  • Persistent overvaluation versus intrinsic value
  • Unsustainable dividend policy eroding shareholder equity

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-5.40%
Profit Margin2.75%
P/E Ratio15.6
ROE30.19%
ROA7.46%
Debt/Equity25.21
P/B Ratio5.0
Op. Cash FlowNT$3.4B
Free Cash FlowNT$-399105984

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI45.0
SupportNT$173.00
ResistanceNT$198.00
MA 20NT$183.78
MA 50NT$193.19
MA 200NT$235.06
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index81.46

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$119.36
Target PriceNT$239.00
Upside/Downside30.96%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.93%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.54
Volatility22.32%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.