8454:TWSEmomo.com Incorporated Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
NT$182.50
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Momo.com Inc. is trading at TWD 182.5, just under its 20‑day SMA of 183.8 but well below the 50‑day SMA of 193.2, indicating short‑term weakness. The RSI sits at 45, the MACD histogram is marginally positive and the MACD signal is labeled bullish, yet the overall trend is still bearish and volatility is elevated at 22% over the past month. The stock’s dividend yield looks attractive at 6.93%, but a payout ratio above 100% (1.08) flags sustainability concerns. A DCF‑derived fair value of roughly TWD 119 suggests the market price is overvalued by about 30%, and the company’s revenue is contracting (-5.4%) with thin margins, reinforcing a value‑oriented, risk‑aware stance.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term SMA20 and approaching support
- Overvalued relative to DCF fair value
- Dividend payout exceeds earnings, raising sustainability concerns
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Potential technical bounce as MACD turns bullish
- Still above fair value, limiting upside
- Revenue contraction persists, limiting growth prospects
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Structural revenue decline and thin operating margins
- Persistent overvaluation versus intrinsic value
- Unsustainable dividend policy eroding shareholder equity
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-5.40%
Profit Margin2.75%
P/E Ratio15.6
ROE30.19%
ROA7.46%
Debt/Equity25.21
P/B Ratio5.0
Op. Cash FlowNT$3.4B
Free Cash FlowNT$-399105984
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI45.0
SupportNT$173.00
ResistanceNT$198.00
MA 20NT$183.78
MA 50NT$193.19
MA 200NT$235.06
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index81.46
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$119.36
Target PriceNT$239.00
Upside/Downside30.96%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.93%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.54
Volatility22.32%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.