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8424:TSEFuyo General Lease Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

NT$68.70

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Wellpool Co., Ltd. is trading at TWD 68.7, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 71.99 but below the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, indicating a short‑term bearish bias. The RSI of 13.1 signals a deep oversold condition, while the MACD line sits beneath the signal line, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Support is anchored at TWD 67.8, just a whisker below the current price, limiting downside risk in the near term. Despite the technical weakness, the DCF‑derived fair value of TWD 75.16 suggests the stock is undervalued by roughly 9%, offering upside potential. The company boasts a robust dividend yield of 7.26% with a payout ratio near 76%, supported by strong operating cash flow and a negligible debt‑to‑equity of 0.24. Low beta (0.12) and a 30‑day volatility of 14.6% further point to modest market risk, though liquidity is thin, as evidenced by daily volume well below its 10‑day average.
Fundamentally, Wellpool delivers solid margins (gross 34%, operating 23%) and a respectable ROE of 17.7%, while maintaining ample cash reserves (TWD 313.8 M) against minimal debt. The combination of attractive yield, undervaluation, and defensive financial profile makes the stock a compelling value play, especially for investors comfortable with a medium‑term rebound from technical weakness.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Deeply oversold RSI indicating potential short‑term bounce
  • Bearish MACD and price below short‑term SMAs
  • Proximity to support level limiting downside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value above market price suggesting upside
  • Strong cash flow and low leverage supporting dividend sustainability
  • Attractive dividend yield for income‑focused investors

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent profitability and solid ROE
  • Low beta indicating defensive characteristics
  • Undervalued relative to intrinsic value with stable dividend policy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-2.90%
Profit Margin19.67%
P/E Ratio11.9
ROE17.66%
ROA10.95%
Debt/Equity0.24
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash FlowNT$294.9M
Free Cash FlowNT$181.8M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI13.1
SupportNT$67.80
ResistanceNT$74.00
MA 20NT$71.99
MA 50NT$73.26
MA 200NT$73.53
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.13

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$75.16
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield7.26%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.12
Volatility14.65%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.