8410:TSESeven Bank, Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Seven Bank is trading just above its immediate support of ¥267.80 with a current price of ¥268.6, while the 20‑day SMA (¥288.52) sits well above the market, indicating short‑term pressure. The RSI of 30.35 places the stock in oversold territory, suggesting a potential rebound, but the MACD remains bearish (line below signal, negative histogram), tempering optimism. Volume is on an increasing trend, adding weight to any near‑term price movement. On the fundamentals side, the company boasts a strong cash position (¥984 bn) against modest debt (¥107 bn), a dividend yield of 4.1% with a 70% payout ratio, and a PE of 17.24 that is slightly above the industry average of 16.35, rendering the valuation essentially fair. Revenue growth of 5.1% and an operating margin of 12.4% point to modest but steady earnings, while the low beta of 0.30 signals limited market‑wide volatility exposure. However, a 30‑day volatility of 25% and a max drawdown of 20% highlight notable price swings, especially as the stock sits near its support level.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- RSI in oversold region indicating possible bounce
- Price hovering just above key support level
- High dividend yield providing immediate income
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Stable cash‑to‑debt profile supporting dividend continuity
- Modest revenue growth and solid operating margins
- Valuation near fair value with limited upside to resistance
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Strong balance sheet with ample liquidity
- Consistently attractive dividend yield and payout ratio
- Low beta and defensive positioning within the regional banking sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.