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8267:TSEAEON Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

¥1,988.50

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Aeon Co., Ltd. is trading just above its technical support at ¥1,974, with the 20‑day SMA (¥2,209) and 50‑day SMA (¥2,260) both sitting well above the current price of ¥1,988.5, indicating limited upside. The RSI of 30.8 suggests the stock is oversold, yet the MACD histogram remains negative and the MACD signal is bearish, signaling continued downside pressure. Fundamentally, the company carries an astronomically high trailing PE of 176× and a payout ratio exceeding 200%, raising concerns about dividend sustainability.
Recent earnings disclosed a miss on EPS expectations, which triggered a price drop and reinforces the bearish technical signals. While the dividend yield of 1.34% appears modest, the unsustainable payout and a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 185× highlight balance‑sheet strain. Volume is increasing, but volatility remains elevated at over 30% for the past 30 days, and the beta near zero suggests limited correlation with broader market moves.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Q3 EPS miss and accompanying price decline
  • Bearish MACD and proximity to technical support
  • Extremely high trailing PE indicating overvaluation

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Unsustainable dividend payout ratio
  • High debt load limiting financial flexibility
  • Potential sector recovery in consumer cyclical markets

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong market presence across Japan and ASEAN
  • Low price‑to‑sales ratio suggesting some value cushion
  • Continued volatility and elevated valuation metrics

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin0.34%
P/E Ratio176.1
ROE3.79%
ROA1.12%
Debt/Equity185.75
P/B Ratio4.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI30.8
Support¥1,974.00
Resistance¥2,415.00
MA 20¥2,208.80
MA 50¥2,259.76
MA 200¥1,984.65
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.55

Valuation

Target Price¥1,862.50
Upside/Downside-6.34%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.34%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.05
Volatility30.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.