8267:TSEAEON Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
¥1,988.50
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Aeon Co., Ltd. is trading just above its technical support at ¥1,974, with the 20‑day SMA (¥2,209) and 50‑day SMA (¥2,260) both sitting well above the current price of ¥1,988.5, indicating limited upside. The RSI of 30.8 suggests the stock is oversold, yet the MACD histogram remains negative and the MACD signal is bearish, signaling continued downside pressure. Fundamentally, the company carries an astronomically high trailing PE of 176× and a payout ratio exceeding 200%, raising concerns about dividend sustainability.
Recent earnings disclosed a miss on EPS expectations, which triggered a price drop and reinforces the bearish technical signals. While the dividend yield of 1.34% appears modest, the unsustainable payout and a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 185× highlight balance‑sheet strain. Volume is increasing, but volatility remains elevated at over 30% for the past 30 days, and the beta near zero suggests limited correlation with broader market moves.
Recent earnings disclosed a miss on EPS expectations, which triggered a price drop and reinforces the bearish technical signals. While the dividend yield of 1.34% appears modest, the unsustainable payout and a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 185× highlight balance‑sheet strain. Volume is increasing, but volatility remains elevated at over 30% for the past 30 days, and the beta near zero suggests limited correlation with broader market moves.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Q3 EPS miss and accompanying price decline
- Bearish MACD and proximity to technical support
- Extremely high trailing PE indicating overvaluation
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Unsustainable dividend payout ratio
- High debt load limiting financial flexibility
- Potential sector recovery in consumer cyclical markets
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strong market presence across Japan and ASEAN
- Low price‑to‑sales ratio suggesting some value cushion
- Continued volatility and elevated valuation metrics
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin0.34%
P/E Ratio176.1
ROE3.79%
ROA1.12%
Debt/Equity185.75
P/B Ratio4.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI30.8
Support¥1,974.00
Resistance¥2,415.00
MA 20¥2,208.80
MA 50¥2,259.76
MA 200¥1,984.65
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.55
Valuation
Target Price¥1,862.50
Upside/Downside-6.34%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.34%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.05
Volatility30.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.