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8252:TSEMarui Group Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

¥2,848.50

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock is trading just below a key resistance level while sitting above the short‑term moving average but below the longer‑term averages, suggesting a bearish bias. Momentum indicators are mixed – RSI hovers around a neutral zone and the MACD histogram has turned positive, providing a hint of short‑term bullishness. Volume has been tapering and recent volatility is elevated, which adds caution.
Fundamental outlook: The company enjoys very strong gross and operating margins and offers a generous dividend yield that stands out in the sector. However, operating cash flow is negative, free cash flow is flat and leverage is extremely high, raising questions about the sustainability of the payout. Analyst sentiment leans bullish with a sizable upside target, but the balance sheet stress tempers enthusiasm.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near resistance with bearish moving‑average alignment
  • bullish MACD histogram indicating short‑term momentum
  • high dividend yield attracting income‑focused investors

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • analyst consensus targets imply substantial upside
  • strong profit margins support earnings stability
  • dividend attractiveness offsets modest growth

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • excessive leverage and negative cash flow pose balance‑sheet risk
  • uncertain dividend sustainability given high payout ratio
  • sector exposure to credit and regulatory dynamics

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin10.29%
P/E Ratio18.0
Debt/Equity292.56
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow¥-48397000704
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI53.2
Support¥2,663.00
Resistance¥2,894.00
MA 20¥2,758.08
MA 50¥2,925.97
MA 200¥3,081.36
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target Price¥3,566.67
Upside/Downside25.21%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.70%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.04
Volatility34.40%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.