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8227:TSESHIMAMURA Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

¥3,520.00

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

SHIMAMURA Co., Ltd. is trading at ¥3,520, barely above its 30‑day support of ¥3,300 and deep in oversold territory with an RSI of 17.5. The MACD histogram is positive (+129) indicating a nascent bullish signal, while the broader trend remains bearish and volatility is extreme at 317% (30‑day). The market sentiment index sits at 72.9 (Greed), suggesting short‑term buying pressure despite the technical weakness.
Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued – the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥4,142 is well above the current price, and the forward PE of 6.0 contrasts sharply with a trailing PE of 18.2. The company is debt‑free, generates strong free cash flow (¥30 bn), pays a 1.94% dividend yield with a modest payout ratio of 35%, and posts solid revenue growth of 8.2%. These fundamentals, combined with a stable dividend and ample liquidity, support a longer‑term buying case.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicates oversold conditions
  • Price near strong support level
  • Bullish MACD histogram despite bearish trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF valuation gap suggests upside
  • Strong free cash flow and zero debt
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent revenue growth and profitability
  • Low leverage and solid balance sheet
  • Sector cyclicality and high volatility temper expectations

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth8.20%
Profit Margin6.26%
P/E Ratio18.2
ROE8.54%
ROA6.37%
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow¥54.9B
Free Cash Flow¥30.0B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI17.5
Support¥3,300.00
Resistance¥11,205.00
MA 20¥4,624.52
MA 50¥8,149.17
MA 200¥9,922.81
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value¥4,142.55
Target Price¥3,498.48
Upside/Downside-0.61%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.94%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.09
Volatility317.34%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.