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8035:TSETokyo Electron Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-11 - not real-time

¥50,560.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Tokyo Electron Limited trades at ¥50,560.00, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. The last 30 days have lost 3.3%. With RSI at 34.7 the momentum picture is approaching oversold, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Watch ¥49,980.00 as support and ¥60,430.00 as the nearer resistance level.
Valuation screens as fair: a P/E of 40.4 sits above the sector average of 32.8. Analyst price targets sit 50.2% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 33.3% on a 23.6% profit margin. The 1.42% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 46.7%, a beta of 0.06 and a maximum drawdown of 36.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 90 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 3 out of 10.

Top Market Events

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Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 48626.30
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day volatility of 46.7%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 40.4 versus sector average of 32.8
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 48626.30
  • Analyst targets imply +50.2% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 40.4 versus sector average of 32.8
  • Analyst targets imply +50.2% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 23.6% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth33.30%
Profit Margin23.64%
P/E Ratio40.4
ROE30.93%
ROA15.82%
P/B Ratio10.7
Op. Cash Flow¥583.5B
Free Cash Flow¥297.2B
Industry P/E32.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI34.7
Support¥49,980.00
Resistance¥60,430.00
MA 20¥54,788.50
MA 50¥59,979.20
MA 200¥48,626.30
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.57

Valuation

Fair Value¥23,272.12
Target Price¥75,939.13
Upside/Downside50.20%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.42%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.06
Volatility46.71%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.