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7988:TSENifco Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

¥4,273.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Nifco Inc. is trading just below its discounted cash‑flow fair value, suggesting a modest upside while the MACD histogram has turned positive, hinting at early bullish momentum despite the broader bearish trend. RSI sits in neutral territory and the beta is low, indicating limited systematic risk, yet 30‑day volatility remains elevated, reflecting short‑term price swings. The company’s fundamentals are solid: revenue growth is flat, margins are respectable, cash balances far exceed debt, and the dividend yield of roughly 2% is supported by a payout ratio well under 50%. Analyst sentiment leans toward a buy with target prices substantially above the current level, reinforcing the view that the stock is fairly valued with upside potential.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical trend with price near support
  • Positive MACD histogram indicating possible reversal
  • Neutral RSI suggesting limited upside momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Fair valuation with upside to DCF estimate
  • Strong cash generation and low leverage
  • Analyst consensus and target price median above current level

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend yield supported by cash flow
  • Low beta and defensive positioning within consumer cyclical sector
  • Stable earnings and modest growth prospects

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.50%
Profit Margin9.66%
P/E Ratio11.8
ROE12.16%
ROA7.77%
Debt/Equity8.42
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow¥47.2B
Free Cash Flow¥19.4B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI45.8
Support¥3,997.00
Resistance¥4,577.00
MA 20¥4,284.25
MA 50¥4,464.56
MA 200¥4,641.00
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value¥4,285.38
Target Price¥5,264.29
Upside/Downside23.20%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.97%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.46
Volatility41.85%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.