7988:TSENifco Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
¥4,273.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Nifco Inc. is trading just below its discounted cash‑flow fair value, suggesting a modest upside while the MACD histogram has turned positive, hinting at early bullish momentum despite the broader bearish trend. RSI sits in neutral territory and the beta is low, indicating limited systematic risk, yet 30‑day volatility remains elevated, reflecting short‑term price swings. The company’s fundamentals are solid: revenue growth is flat, margins are respectable, cash balances far exceed debt, and the dividend yield of roughly 2% is supported by a payout ratio well under 50%. Analyst sentiment leans toward a buy with target prices substantially above the current level, reinforcing the view that the stock is fairly valued with upside potential.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical trend with price near support
- Positive MACD histogram indicating possible reversal
- Neutral RSI suggesting limited upside momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Fair valuation with upside to DCF estimate
- Strong cash generation and low leverage
- Analyst consensus and target price median above current level
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend yield supported by cash flow
- Low beta and defensive positioning within consumer cyclical sector
- Stable earnings and modest growth prospects
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth1.50%
Profit Margin9.66%
P/E Ratio11.8
ROE12.16%
ROA7.77%
Debt/Equity8.42
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow¥47.2B
Free Cash Flow¥19.4B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI45.8
Support¥3,997.00
Resistance¥4,577.00
MA 20¥4,284.25
MA 50¥4,464.56
MA 200¥4,641.00
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair Value¥4,285.38
Target Price¥5,264.29
Upside/Downside23.20%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.97%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.46
Volatility41.85%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.