780:HKEXTongcheng Travel Holdings Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-03 - not real-time
NT$19.10
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
aetherAI Co., Ltd. trades at TWD 19.10, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 8.8%. Relative strength is 39.7 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bullish. Watch TWD 18.10 as support and TWD 22.65 as the nearer resistance level.
Revenue is contracting at 43.5% on a -129.4% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 6 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 33.5%, a beta of 0.30 and a maximum drawdown of 24.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to sell, carrying 6/10 conviction.
Revenue is contracting at 43.5% on a -129.4% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 6 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 33.5%, a beta of 0.30 and a maximum drawdown of 24.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to sell, carrying 6/10 conviction.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 21.56
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 21.56
- MACD momentum is positive
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Negative profit margin of -129.4%
- Negative return on equity of -36.1%
- Revenue contracting at -43.5%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-43.50%
Profit Margin-129.36%
ROE-36.14%
ROA-21.93%
Debt/Equity3.68
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash FlowNT$-143604000
Free Cash FlowNT$-106266872
Industry P/E35.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI39.7
SupportNT$18.10
ResistanceNT$22.65
MA 20NT$19.47
MA 50NT$20.82
MA 200NT$21.56
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.95
Valuation
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.30
Volatility33.53%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.