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7751:TSECanon Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

NT$1,185.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

HORNG TERNG is trading at TWD 1,185, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (1,008), 50‑day SMA (866) and 200‑day SMA (562), confirming a strong bullish momentum. Technical indicators such as an RSI of 62 and a bullish MACD histogram (+8) reinforce the upward trend, while the price is still below the 52‑week resistance of 1,335, leaving upside potential. Fundamentally, the company posts impressive 75% revenue growth, a 55.5% gross margin and a 24% ROE, backed by a massive cash pile of TWD 2.1 bn and minimal debt. However, valuation metrics are stretched: a trailing PE of 69 versus the industry average of 37, a PB of 13.9, and a DCF‑derived fair value near TWD 198 signal significant overvaluation. The dividend yield is modest at 0.93% with a payout ratio of 58%, suggesting dividend sustainability but limited income appeal. High beta (2.05) and 30‑day volatility of 88% add considerable price risk, especially in the context of Taiwan’s geopolitical environment.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical setup with price above key moving averages
  • Overvalued price relative to DCF and peers
  • High volatility and beta increasing short‑term price swings

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high operating margins
  • Robust cash position and low debt supporting reinvestment
  • Potential price correction toward intrinsic value offering upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Secular demand for semiconductor automation equipment
  • Sustainable earnings power reflected in high ROE
  • Geopolitical and valuation headwinds that may be priced in over time

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth75.00%
Profit Margin26.49%
P/E Ratio69.0
ROE24.37%
ROA11.71%
Debt/Equity1.18
P/B Ratio13.9
Op. Cash FlowNT$299.7M
Free Cash FlowNT$85.3M
Industry P/E37.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI61.9
SupportNT$781.00
ResistanceNT$1,335.00
MA 20NT$1,008.05
MA 50NT$866.10
MA 200NT$562.46
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index77.46

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$197.76
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.93%

Risk Assessment

Beta2.05
Volatility88.34%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.