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7459:TSEMEDIPAL HOLDINGS Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

¥2,638.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

MediPal is trading at a price of 2,638 JPY, which sits below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, indicating short‑term weakness. The RSI of 38.8 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD histogram remains negative, confirming bearish momentum. Despite the technical softness, the stock’s PE ratio of 12.8 is well under the industry average of 24.8 and the price‑to‑book of 0.83 points to a valuation gap. A discounted cash‑flow model places fair value near 5,364 JPY, implying roughly a 10% upside from the current level, and analyst price targets cluster around 2,910‑2,912 JPY. The company enjoys a strong cash position of over 289 billion JPY and carries no debt, supporting a dividend yield of 2.58% with a comfortable payout ratio of 32%. Overall, the market sentiment is extremely bullish (Fear‑Greed Index 89.9), yet the technicals and valuation suggest a measured entry point.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price is near recent support at 2,618.5 JPY
  • Bearish MACD and RSI below 40 signal limited upside
  • Stable volume reduces short‑term price volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation gap: PE and PB well below peers
  • DCF upside of ~10% and analyst targets near 2,910 JPY
  • Sustainable dividend with strong cash generation

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Zero debt and massive cash buffer support financial stability
  • Defensive healthcare distribution sector with low beta
  • Consistent dividend yield and modest revenue growth

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.80%
Profit Margin1.11%
P/E Ratio12.8
ROE6.84%
ROA1.77%
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow¥46.6B
Free Cash Flow¥49.7B
Industry P/E24.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI38.8
Support¥2,618.50
Resistance¥2,924.00
MA 20¥2,724.58
MA 50¥2,800.56
MA 200¥2,752.11
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value¥5,363.72
Target Price¥2,912.50
Upside/Downside10.41%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.58%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.05
Volatility22.62%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.