7309:TSEShimano Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
¥15,870.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading below its short‑ and medium‑term moving averages, with momentum indicators pointing to oversold conditions and a bearish MACD crossover. Fundamental snapshot: Valuation metrics suggest the market price is high relative to intrinsic estimates, while earnings growth is flat and profit margins are modest. Dividend profile: The company offers a respectable dividend yield, but the payout ratio is high, raising questions about long‑term sustainability despite a strong cash position.
Overall, the bearish technical setup, elevated valuation and limited growth imply caution in the near term, yet the solid balance sheet and dividend appeal provide a defensive cushion for investors with a longer horizon.
Overall, the bearish technical setup, elevated valuation and limited growth imply caution in the near term, yet the solid balance sheet and dividend appeal provide a defensive cushion for investors with a longer horizon.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- bearish technical indicators
- price hovering just above key support
- stable trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- overvalued relative to discounted cash‑flow estimate
- strong cash reserves offsetting debt
- moderate dividend yield with high payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- robust balance sheet and cash generation
- potential for sector recovery in leisure and consumer cyclical markets
- dividend income providing downside protection
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-0.80%
Profit Margin7.29%
P/E Ratio41.0
ROE3.90%
ROA3.40%
Debt/Equity0.46
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash Flow¥63.8B
Free Cash Flow¥5.2B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI33.8
Support¥15,720.00
Resistance¥18,835.00
MA 20¥16,756.75
MA 50¥17,013.10
MA 200¥17,678.10
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.07
Valuation
Fair Value¥6,313.30
Target Price¥17,684.73
Upside/Downside11.43%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.26%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.40
Volatility31.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.