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7309:TSEShimano Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

¥15,870.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock is trading below its short‑ and medium‑term moving averages, with momentum indicators pointing to oversold conditions and a bearish MACD crossover. Fundamental snapshot: Valuation metrics suggest the market price is high relative to intrinsic estimates, while earnings growth is flat and profit margins are modest. Dividend profile: The company offers a respectable dividend yield, but the payout ratio is high, raising questions about long‑term sustainability despite a strong cash position.
Overall, the bearish technical setup, elevated valuation and limited growth imply caution in the near term, yet the solid balance sheet and dividend appeal provide a defensive cushion for investors with a longer horizon.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • bearish technical indicators
  • price hovering just above key support
  • stable trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • overvalued relative to discounted cash‑flow estimate
  • strong cash reserves offsetting debt
  • moderate dividend yield with high payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • robust balance sheet and cash generation
  • potential for sector recovery in leisure and consumer cyclical markets
  • dividend income providing downside protection

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.80%
Profit Margin7.29%
P/E Ratio41.0
ROE3.90%
ROA3.40%
Debt/Equity0.46
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash Flow¥63.8B
Free Cash Flow¥5.2B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI33.8
Support¥15,720.00
Resistance¥18,835.00
MA 20¥16,756.75
MA 50¥17,013.10
MA 200¥17,678.10
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.07

Valuation

Fair Value¥6,313.30
Target Price¥17,684.73
Upside/Downside11.43%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.26%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.40
Volatility31.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.