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7259:TSEAisin Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

¥2,356.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Aisin Corp. is trading at ¥2,356, well below its 20‑day (¥2,646) and 50‑day (¥2,800) simple moving averages, signaling a short‑term price weakness. However, the RSI of 29.4 places the stock in oversold territory and the support level at ¥2,333 aligns closely with today’s price, suggesting a potential floor. Technical indicators such as the bearish MACD and neutral trend direction caution against a rapid rally, but the large upside potential implied by the DCF fair value of ¥4,630 and analyst median target of ¥3,000 points to a substantial valuation gap. Fundamentally, the company offers a solid dividend yield of 2.97% with a modest 27% payout ratio, a low price‑to‑book of 0.80, and a forward PE of 10.3, indicating it is undervalued relative to earnings. The balance sheet shows high leverage (debt‑to‑equity 28.7) but ample cash reserves, and earnings growth is flat, so the upside is driven primarily by valuation rather than earnings acceleration.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in oversold region suggests a near‑term bounce
  • Price sitting at key support level of ¥2,333
  • Valuation gap provides immediate upside potential

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF and analyst targets imply ~30% upside
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Stable cash flow despite high leverage

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Flat revenue growth limits organic upside
  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio adds balance‑sheet risk
  • Exposure to EV and hybrid transmission trends could drive future growth

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin3.26%
P/E Ratio10.7
ROE8.39%
ROA3.45%
Debt/Equity28.71
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow¥382.4B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI29.4
Support¥2,333.00
Resistance¥2,978.00
MA 20¥2,645.83
MA 50¥2,799.97
MA 200¥2,467.48
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value¥4,630.25
Target Price¥3,012.31
Upside/Downside27.86%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.97%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.77
Volatility43.60%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.