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7205:TSEHino Motors,Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

¥378.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Hino Motors (7205.T) is trading at ¥378, just above a key support level of ¥374 and well below its 20‑day (¥423.3) and 50‑day (¥422.9) simple moving averages, signaling short‑term pressure. Technical indicators show an oversold condition (RSI 34) and a bearish MACD divergence, yet volume is on an increasing trend and the computed trend direction is bullish, suggesting a potential bounce off support. Valuation metrics are compelling: the price‑to‑earnings ratio sits at ~9 versus an industry average of ~29, and the price‑to‑book is essentially parity at 1.0, placing the stock in a deep value pocket. However, the balance sheet is heavily leveraged with a debt‑to‑equity of 140% and net debt far exceeding cash, while operating cash flow is reported as zero, raising concerns about sustainability. The company delivers an impressive ROE of 35% and a modest upside estimate of ~14%, but the lack of dividend and high leverage temper enthusiasm. Overall, the stock appears undervalued with upside potential, yet investors must weigh the liquidity cushion against the substantial debt load and sector cyclicality.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above support (¥374)
  • Oversold RSI and bearish MACD
  • High leverage increasing downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation discount to industry peers
  • Strong ROE indicating efficient capital use
  • Increasing volume suggesting renewed buying interest

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Backed by Toyota Motor Corporation providing strategic stability
  • Potential recovery in industrial and heavy‑construction demand
  • Undervalued metrics (PE, PB) offering margin of safety

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin5.02%
P/E Ratio8.9
ROE35.36%
ROA3.41%
Debt/Equity140.37
P/B Ratio1.0
Industry P/E29.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI34.2
Support¥374.00
Resistance¥477.00
MA 20¥423.30
MA 50¥422.88
MA 200¥395.31
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index81.14

Valuation

Target Price¥432.22
Upside/Downside14.34%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.30
Volatility51.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.