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6981:TSEMurata Manufacturing Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

¥3,672.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical snapshot: The stock is trading above its short‑term moving average and the broader trend remains bullish, while the RSI sits in a neutral zone and the MACD has turned bearish, suggesting a short‑term pullback risk. Volatility is elevated and beta is below the market, indicating price swings that are pronounced but not overly correlated with broader indices. Valuation metrics show a price‑to‑earnings ratio modestly below the industry average, yet a discounted cash‑flow model places the fair value well under the current market price, flagging potential overvaluation at present.
Fundamental backdrop: Murata delivers steady revenue growth with solid gross and operating margins, a robust cash position, and a manageable debt load. The dividend payout ratio is comfortable, supporting the current yield, and the recent release of a technology guide for AI‑focused power delivery networks highlights a strategic push into high‑growth data‑center markets. Together, these factors underpin a medium‑term upside narrative while advising caution on the near‑term price dynamics.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price above short‑term average but MACD bearish
  • neutral RSI and high volatility
  • stable trading volume supporting liquidity

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • steady revenue growth and healthy margins
  • strategic AI data‑center positioning
  • sustainable dividend with solid cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • global demand for electronic components
  • low beta and strong balance sheet
  • ongoing innovation in high‑growth technology segments

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.30%
Profit Margin10.65%
P/E Ratio35.6
ROE7.25%
ROA5.48%
Debt/Equity2.34
P/B Ratio2.6
Op. Cash Flow¥410.2B
Free Cash Flow¥170.2B
Industry P/E36.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI51.6
Support¥3,220.00
Resistance¥4,322.00
MA 20¥3,676.85
MA 50¥3,429.32
MA 200¥2,799.46
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index77.16

Valuation

Fair Value¥1,843.45
Target Price¥4,117.65
Upside/Downside12.14%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.73%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.83
Volatility63.92%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.