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6806:HKEXShenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd. Class H Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-03 - not real-time

¥28,425.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Hirose Electric is trading at 28.66× forward earnings, well below the industry average PE of 42.86×, indicating a fairly valued stock despite its recent price rally toward the 29,185 resistance zone. Technical momentum remains bullish – the MACD line sits at 1,558 with a bullish signal and the 14‑day RSI is in the 78 overbought region, yet the price is still above the 20‑day SMA of 24,832 and approaching the 50‑day SMA of 22,672, suggesting a potential short‑term correction. Volatility is elevated at 41.6 % over the past 30 days, but the stock’s beta of 0.30 points to low market‑wide sensitivity, tempering downside risk. Fundamentals are robust: revenue grew 21.6 % YoY, free cash flow exceeds 46 bn JPY and supports a dividend payout ratio of just 51 %, making the 1.87 % yield sustainable. Overall, the company blends growth attributes with solid valuation, positioning it as a buy‑and‑hold candidate for longer horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • overbought RSI (78) signaling potential price pullback
  • price nearing resistance at 29,185 with high 30‑day volatility (41.6%)
  • bullish MACD but low beta (0.30) suggesting limited upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • steady revenue growth (21.6% YoY)
  • strong free cash flow (46 bn JPY) covering dividend needs
  • valuation still reasonable (PE 28.66 vs industry 42.86)

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • undervalued PE relative to sector peers
  • robust cash generation and sustainable dividend yield (1.87%)
  • diversified product portfolio in a growing electronic components market

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth21.60%
Profit Margin15.69%
P/E Ratio28.7
ROE8.86%
ROA6.34%
Debt/Equity1.65
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash Flow¥45.9B
Free Cash Flow¥46.4B
Industry P/E42.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI77.9
Support¥21,590.00
Resistance¥29,185.00
MA 20¥24,832.25
MA 50¥22,671.80
MA 200¥19,899.98
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.09

Valuation

Fair Value¥47,594.60
Target Price¥24,826.67
Upside/Downside-12.66%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.87%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.33
Volatility41.63%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.