6758:TSESony Group Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time
¥3,346.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Sony’s share price is trading below its short‑term moving averages, with the 20‑day and 50‑day SMA both sitting above the current market level, signaling a bearish technical backdrop. The RSI hovers in the neutral‑to‑slightly‑oversold zone, while the MACD histogram has turned positive, suggesting a modest bullish momentum that could temper the downtrend. Volatility remains elevated and the beta is below one, indicating that price swings are pronounced but the stock is less sensitive to broader market moves. The market price is notably lower than the DCF‑derived fair value, creating a sizeable upside potential and an attractive valuation gap.
Fundamentally, Sony delivers strong operating cash flow despite a thin profit margin, and its dividend payout is modest, supporting sustainability. A low payout ratio and a healthy cash balance underpin the stable dividend outlook. Analyst sentiment skews heavily bullish, with a strong‑buy consensus and target prices well above current levels, reflecting confidence in the company’s diversified entertainment, gaming, and sensor businesses. Together, the technical and fundamental signals point to an undervalued stock with upside potential for patient investors.
Fundamentally, Sony delivers strong operating cash flow despite a thin profit margin, and its dividend payout is modest, supporting sustainability. A low payout ratio and a healthy cash balance underpin the stable dividend outlook. Analyst sentiment skews heavily bullish, with a strong‑buy consensus and target prices well above current levels, reflecting confidence in the company’s diversified entertainment, gaming, and sensor businesses. Together, the technical and fundamental signals point to an undervalued stock with upside potential for patient investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price below short‑term moving averages
- elevated volatility and bearish trend direction
- MACD histogram turning positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- valuation gap versus DCF fair value
- strong operating cash flow and low dividend payout
- analyst consensus of strong‑buy and high target median
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- diversified revenue streams across entertainment, gaming, and sensors
- sustainable dividend supported by cash reserves
- brand strength and growth opportunities in content and technology
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth0.50%
Profit Margin-1.61%
P/E Ratio16.2
ROE14.92%
ROA3.96%
Debt/Equity19.45
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow¥2051.0B
Free Cash Flow¥-79850749952
Industry P/E36.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI42.6
Support¥3,218.00
Resistance¥3,655.00
MA 20¥3,460.80
MA 50¥3,643.56
MA 200¥3,949.21
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.89
Valuation
Fair Value¥3,473.85
Target Price¥4,969.13
Upside/Downside48.51%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.72%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.84
Volatility44.65%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.