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6465:TSEHOSHIZAKI Corp. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

NT$70.40

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

ATrack Technology is trading well above its 20‑day and 50‑day simple moving averages, with the MACD line comfortably above its signal, indicating a bullish technical backdrop. Momentum remains strong as the price sits near the upper end of its recent range, though the RSI has climbed into overbought territory, suggesting a potential short‑term pullback. Volume trends are upward, reinforcing the current uptrend, while the stock holds above a clear support level and below a defined resistance ceiling. These technical cues point to a resilient price action but warrant caution on the near‑term horizon.
Fundamentally, the company delivers exceptional top‑line growth and high profitability margins, supported by ample cash and a modest debt load. However, the trailing P/E is more than double the industry average and the discounted cash‑flow model implies a fair value far below the market price, flagging significant overvaluation. The dividend yield is minimal and the payout ratio is effectively zero, raising questions about dividend sustainability. Combined with high short‑term volatility, the profile suggests a cautious stance despite solid long‑term fundamentals.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near resistance level
  • RSI in overbought zone
  • MACD bullish but momentum may wane

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • robust revenue growth and margins
  • strong cash generation and low debt
  • valuation gap relative to peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • high ROE and free cash flow
  • expanding global telematics market
  • diversified customer base across multiple industries

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth82.60%
Profit Margin41.25%
P/E Ratio81.9
ROE25.01%
ROA9.48%
Debt/Equity6.32
P/B Ratio8.0
Op. Cash FlowNT$73.6M
Free Cash FlowNT$34.8M
Industry P/E37.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI70.9
SupportNT$47.05
ResistanceNT$73.10
MA 20NT$54.62
MA 50NT$50.22
MA 200NT$32.94
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$30.99
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.31%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.34
Volatility86.58%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.