6465:TSEHOSHIZAKI Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time
NT$51.50
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
ATrack Technology shows robust fundamentals – revenue up 83%, gross margin near 70%, operating margin 32% and ROE 25% – indicating a high‑quality earnings engine. Cash balance of ~236 M TWD and low leverage support financial stability, while free cash flow remains positive.
On the price side the stock trades at 51.5 TWD, well above the 30‑day DCF fair value of 30.6 TWD and the 20‑day SMA of 46.9 TWD, giving a PE of 55.4 versus an industry average of 39.1. Technicals are bullish – price sits above the 20‑ and 50‑day SMAs, RSI is 58.8 and the MACD histogram is positive – yet volatility is extreme at 86 % over 30 days and the max drawdown has been 27 %. The market sentiment index reads “Extreme Greed,” suggesting the rally may be overstretched.
On the price side the stock trades at 51.5 TWD, well above the 30‑day DCF fair value of 30.6 TWD and the 20‑day SMA of 46.9 TWD, giving a PE of 55.4 versus an industry average of 39.1. Technicals are bullish – price sits above the 20‑ and 50‑day SMAs, RSI is 58.8 and the MACD histogram is positive – yet volatility is extreme at 86 % over 30 days and the max drawdown has been 27 %. The market sentiment index reads “Extreme Greed,” suggesting the rally may be overstretched.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and SMA alignment
- Price approaching resistance at 53.3 TWD
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Strong earnings growth and margins
- Valuation gap vs DCF fair value
- Continued volume buildup
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable revenue growth and cash generation
- Low leverage and healthy balance sheet
- Potential for valuation correction
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth82.60%
Profit Margin41.25%
P/E Ratio55.4
ROE25.01%
ROA9.48%
Debt/Equity6.32
P/B Ratio5.8
Op. Cash FlowNT$73.6M
Free Cash FlowNT$34.8M
Industry P/E39.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI58.8
SupportNT$43.10
ResistanceNT$53.30
MA 20NT$46.95
MA 50NT$45.38
MA 200NT$29.64
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.5
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$30.58
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.75
Volatility86.56%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.