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6417:TSESankyo Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time

¥1,633.50

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Current price is anchored at a technical support level while remaining well below all major moving averages, confirming a bearish price context. The RSI is deep in oversold territory, suggesting a potential short‑term bounce, and volume has been trending upward, adding weight to recent price action. Meanwhile, the company boasts a robust cash position, zero debt and an attractive dividend yield supported by a modest payout ratio, indicating strong financial resilience.
Fundamentally, the valuation gap is pronounced: the discounted cash flow model points to a fair value substantially higher than today’s market price, implying a sizable upside. Low beta underscores limited market volatility, yet the 30‑day price swings are elevated, reflecting heightened short‑term risk. Overall, the stock appears fundamentally undervalued with a compelling dividend profile, but the technical backdrop remains bearish.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • oversold RSI indicating potential rebound
  • price sitting at identified support
  • increasing volume supporting price move

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • significant valuation upside versus DCF fair value
  • strong cash generation and zero debt
  • attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • persistent undervaluation relative to fundamentals
  • stable dividend policy providing income cushion
  • low beta and defensive balance sheet supporting resilience

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-54.40%
Profit Margin26.09%
P/E Ratio7.3
ROE17.47%
ROA12.50%
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow¥51.8B
Free Cash Flow¥28.1B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI23.6
Support¥1,633.50
Resistance¥1,914.00
MA 20¥1,790.65
MA 50¥1,909.45
MA 200¥2,442.59
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.5

Valuation

Fair Value¥2,824.79
Target Price¥2,325.00
Upside/Downside42.33%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.42%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.50
Volatility26.31%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.