6367:TSEDAIKIN INDUSTRIES, LTD. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
¥19,225.00
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Daikin Industries (6367.T) is trading at ¥19,225, which sits just below its 20‑day (¥19,631) and 50‑day (¥19,553) simple moving averages but remains comfortably above the 200‑day SMA (¥18,558), indicating a longer‑term bullish backdrop despite a short‑term pullback. Technical signals such as an RSI of 47 and a bearish MACD histogram suggest caution in the near term, while the overall trend is still classified as bullish and the beta of ~0.42 points to low market volatility. Volume is decreasing, and 30‑day volatility is elevated at over 43%, which adds a modest short‑term risk premium.
Fundamentally, Daikin delivers a solid 7.9% revenue growth year‑over‑year, with gross margins around 34.6% and operating margins near 5.2%. The stock trades at a PE of 20.6 versus an industry average of 29.5, and the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥20,212 implies roughly a 13% upside; analysts average a target of ¥21,855, reinforcing the undervalued assessment. Dividend yield stands at 1.73% with a payout ratio of 33%, supporting a sustainable income component.
The company’s recent focus on advanced HVAC solutions for data centers and large‑scale cooling presents a compelling growth catalyst, aligning with global trends toward higher energy efficiency. With a strong cash position, manageable debt, and a diversified geographic footprint, Daikin offers a balanced risk‑return profile, making it a buy for medium‑ and long‑term horizons while recommending a cautious hold in the immediate term.
Fundamentally, Daikin delivers a solid 7.9% revenue growth year‑over‑year, with gross margins around 34.6% and operating margins near 5.2%. The stock trades at a PE of 20.6 versus an industry average of 29.5, and the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥20,212 implies roughly a 13% upside; analysts average a target of ¥21,855, reinforcing the undervalued assessment. Dividend yield stands at 1.73% with a payout ratio of 33%, supporting a sustainable income component.
The company’s recent focus on advanced HVAC solutions for data centers and large‑scale cooling presents a compelling growth catalyst, aligning with global trends toward higher energy efficiency. With a strong cash position, manageable debt, and a diversified geographic footprint, Daikin offers a balanced risk‑return profile, making it a buy for medium‑ and long‑term horizons while recommending a cautious hold in the immediate term.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price slightly below short‑term moving averages
- Bearish MACD histogram
- Neutral RSI indicating no immediate overbought/oversold condition
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to peers (PE 20.6 vs industry 29.5)
- 13% upside to DCF fair value and analyst targets
- Sustainable dividend yield of 1.73%
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Secular demand from data‑center HVAC and energy‑efficient cooling
- Strong cash balance offsetting debt levels
- Low beta (0.42) indicating defensive characteristics in volatile markets
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.90%
Profit Margin5.67%
P/E Ratio20.6
ROE9.29%
ROA4.45%
Debt/Equity29.45
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow¥433.5B
Industry P/E29.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI47.1
Support¥18,390.00
Resistance¥20,915.00
MA 20¥19,631.50
MA 50¥19,553.10
MA 200¥18,558.00
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.39
Valuation
Fair Value¥20,212.20
Target Price¥21,855.09
Upside/Downside13.68%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.73%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.42
Volatility43.23%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.