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6273:TSESMC Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

¥67,520.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

SMC Corp is trading at ¥67,520, comfortably above the 20‑day SMA of ¥71,401 and the 50‑day SMA of ¥64,806, indicating a short‑term bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram and a neutral RSI of 48. The price sits near the lower end of its 52‑week range, with a solid support level at ¥62,840 and a sizable upside target near ¥77,610, offering roughly a 15% upside potential. Volatility remains elevated at over 54% on a 30‑day basis, yet the beta of 0.73 suggests the stock moves less than the broader market, and the Fear & Greed Index at 76.91 signals “Extreme Greed” among investors. Fundamentally, the company posted 7.3% revenue growth, a healthy gross margin of 45%, and an operating margin above 22%, positioning it well above many peers. Its trailing PE of 27.3 is below the industry average of 29.4, and a forward PE of 20.6 points to improving earnings expectations. With a dividend yield of 1.48% and a payout ratio near 40%, the dividend appears sustainable given the strong cash pile of ¥702 bn and modest debt load.
Overall, the blend of technical upside, undervalued valuation metrics, and solid cash generation supports a buy stance for medium‑ to long‑term horizons, while short‑term investors may prefer to hold and watch for confirmation of the bullish trend.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near strong support at ¥62,840
  • Bullish SMA crossover (20‑day above 50‑day)
  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating short‑term caution

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued PE relative to industry peers
  • Revenue growth of 7.3% and improving forward EPS
  • Sustainable dividend with a 40% payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash position and low leverage
  • Consistent dividend and attractive yield
  • Long‑term demand for industrial automation equipment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.30%
Profit Margin19.42%
P/E Ratio27.3
ROE7.90%
ROA5.28%
Debt/Equity1.72
P/B Ratio2.1
Industry P/E29.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.8
Support¥62,840.00
Resistance¥77,610.00
MA 20¥71,401.50
MA 50¥64,806.40
MA 200¥54,503.30
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Valuation

Target Price¥77,700.00
Upside/Downside15.08%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.48%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.73
Volatility54.25%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.