6273:TSESMC Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
¥67,520.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
SMC Corp is trading at ¥67,520, comfortably above the 20‑day SMA of ¥71,401 and the 50‑day SMA of ¥64,806, indicating a short‑term bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram and a neutral RSI of 48. The price sits near the lower end of its 52‑week range, with a solid support level at ¥62,840 and a sizable upside target near ¥77,610, offering roughly a 15% upside potential. Volatility remains elevated at over 54% on a 30‑day basis, yet the beta of 0.73 suggests the stock moves less than the broader market, and the Fear & Greed Index at 76.91 signals “Extreme Greed” among investors. Fundamentally, the company posted 7.3% revenue growth, a healthy gross margin of 45%, and an operating margin above 22%, positioning it well above many peers. Its trailing PE of 27.3 is below the industry average of 29.4, and a forward PE of 20.6 points to improving earnings expectations. With a dividend yield of 1.48% and a payout ratio near 40%, the dividend appears sustainable given the strong cash pile of ¥702 bn and modest debt load.
Overall, the blend of technical upside, undervalued valuation metrics, and solid cash generation supports a buy stance for medium‑ to long‑term horizons, while short‑term investors may prefer to hold and watch for confirmation of the bullish trend.
Overall, the blend of technical upside, undervalued valuation metrics, and solid cash generation supports a buy stance for medium‑ to long‑term horizons, while short‑term investors may prefer to hold and watch for confirmation of the bullish trend.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near strong support at ¥62,840
- Bullish SMA crossover (20‑day above 50‑day)
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating short‑term caution
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued PE relative to industry peers
- Revenue growth of 7.3% and improving forward EPS
- Sustainable dividend with a 40% payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Strong cash position and low leverage
- Consistent dividend and attractive yield
- Long‑term demand for industrial automation equipment
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.30%
Profit Margin19.42%
P/E Ratio27.3
ROE7.90%
ROA5.28%
Debt/Equity1.72
P/B Ratio2.1
Industry P/E29.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI47.8
Support¥62,840.00
Resistance¥77,610.00
MA 20¥71,401.50
MA 50¥64,806.40
MA 200¥54,503.30
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91
Valuation
Target Price¥77,700.00
Upside/Downside15.08%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.48%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.73
Volatility54.25%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.