6181:HKEXLaopu Gold Co. Ltd. Class H Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time
¥105.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Tameny Inc. is trading at ¥105, well below its 20‑day SMA of ¥110.75 and the 50‑day SMA of ¥115.64, indicating a bearish price action that aligns with the computed bearish MACD and a 30‑day volatility of over 50%. Fundamentally, the company posts a negative profit margin and a trailing EPS of -¥32.53, yet the forward PE of 5.74 suggests the market is pricing in a potential earnings rebound. The balance sheet is strained, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 2,700% and a max drawdown of nearly 40%, while cash reserves cover only about 32% of total debt. Liquidity is a concern as daily volume has slumped to 7,300 shares against a 3‑month average of ~191,000, reflecting decreasing market participation. The Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed,” hinting at heightened speculative sentiment despite the stock’s weak fundamentals.
Given these dynamics, the stock appears undervalued on a price‑to‑sales basis (0.6×) but suffers from high financial risk and a bearish technical outlook. Investors should weigh the potential upside from a low forward valuation against the substantial debt load, negative earnings, and sector exposure to discretionary consumer spending.
Given these dynamics, the stock appears undervalued on a price‑to‑sales basis (0.6×) but suffers from high financial risk and a bearish technical outlook. Investors should weigh the potential upside from a low forward valuation against the substantial debt load, negative earnings, and sector exposure to discretionary consumer spending.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price below all major moving averages
- Bearish MACD and weakening volume
- Negative earnings and high debt burden
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Low forward PE suggesting valuation cushion
- Potential earnings recovery from forward EPS estimate
- Continued financial stress from high leverage
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Demographic tailwinds for marriage services in Japan
- Persistent cash flow constraints
- Elevated sector cyclicality and consumer discretionary risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.40%
Profit Margin-4.23%
P/E Ratio5.7
ROE-122.48%
ROA-1.82%
Debt/Equity2707.33
P/B Ratio18.4
Op. Cash Flow¥69.0M
Free Cash Flow¥57.1M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI40.4
Support¥98.00
Resistance¥134.00
MA 20¥110.75
MA 50¥115.64
MA 200¥122.52
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.16
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.30
Volatility51.66%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.