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6181:HKEXLaopu Gold Co. Ltd. Class H Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time

¥105.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Tameny Inc. is trading at ¥105, well below its 20‑day SMA of ¥110.75 and the 50‑day SMA of ¥115.64, indicating a bearish price action that aligns with the computed bearish MACD and a 30‑day volatility of over 50%. Fundamentally, the company posts a negative profit margin and a trailing EPS of -¥32.53, yet the forward PE of 5.74 suggests the market is pricing in a potential earnings rebound. The balance sheet is strained, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 2,700% and a max drawdown of nearly 40%, while cash reserves cover only about 32% of total debt. Liquidity is a concern as daily volume has slumped to 7,300 shares against a 3‑month average of ~191,000, reflecting decreasing market participation. The Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed,” hinting at heightened speculative sentiment despite the stock’s weak fundamentals.
Given these dynamics, the stock appears undervalued on a price‑to‑sales basis (0.6×) but suffers from high financial risk and a bearish technical outlook. Investors should weigh the potential upside from a low forward valuation against the substantial debt load, negative earnings, and sector exposure to discretionary consumer spending.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major moving averages
  • Bearish MACD and weakening volume
  • Negative earnings and high debt burden

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Low forward PE suggesting valuation cushion
  • Potential earnings recovery from forward EPS estimate
  • Continued financial stress from high leverage

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Demographic tailwinds for marriage services in Japan
  • Persistent cash flow constraints
  • Elevated sector cyclicality and consumer discretionary risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.40%
Profit Margin-4.23%
P/E Ratio5.7
ROE-122.48%
ROA-1.82%
Debt/Equity2707.33
P/B Ratio18.4
Op. Cash Flow¥69.0M
Free Cash Flow¥57.1M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI40.4
Support¥98.00
Resistance¥134.00
MA 20¥110.75
MA 50¥115.64
MA 200¥122.52
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.16

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.30
Volatility51.66%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.