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6098:TSERecruit Holdings Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

¥6,648.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Recruit Holdings is trading below its 20‑day moving average and beneath the 50‑day SMA, indicating short‑term weakness, while the MACD histogram has turned positive, hinting at a potential near‑term bounce. RSI is under 50, suggesting limited upside momentum and room for further downside before a reversal. The stock’s price sits near the identified support level, and volume trends are decreasing, reinforcing the bearish technical backdrop.
On the fundamentals side, the company delivers robust profitability with operating margins near 20% and an ROE above 25%, outpacing many peers in the Internet Content & Information space. The forward PE is modestly lower than the current PE, and the payout ratio is under 10%, supporting dividend sustainability. Recent earnings calls highlighted record‑high revenue and strong growth in U.S. HR‑Tech, while the ongoing share‑repurchase program signals confidence from management. Despite these strengths, the DCF‑derived fair value is well below the market price, and the stock trades at a premium to both industry PE and book value, suggesting it is currently overvalued.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages
  • Decreasing volume and bearish trend direction
  • Proximity to technical support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash generation and low payout ratio
  • Record revenue growth in U.S. HR‑Tech segment
  • Management’s active share‑repurchase program

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend backed by solid free cash flow
  • Diversified global footprint reducing single‑market exposure
  • High ROE and operating margins indicating durable competitive advantage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.20%
Profit Margin12.83%
P/E Ratio22.3
ROE27.32%
ROA13.64%
Debt/Equity11.88
P/B Ratio6.0
Op. Cash Flow¥623.1B
Free Cash Flow¥416.2B
Industry P/E18.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI41.7
Support¥6,040.00
Resistance¥7,574.00
MA 20¥6,623.85
MA 50¥7,858.92
MA 200¥8,160.67
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.89

Valuation

Fair Value¥5,441.96
Target Price¥9,867.50
Upside/Downside48.43%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.37%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.94
Volatility62.70%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.