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603816:SSEJason Furniture (Hangzhou) Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-03 - not real-time

CN¥29.30

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Jason Furniture is trading at CNY 29.3, comfortably below its 20‑day SMA of ~30.1 and the 50‑day/200‑day SMAs of ~31.2, indicating short‑term price weakness but a neutral overall trend. The RSI sits around 44, suggesting no immediate overbought or oversold condition, while the MACD line has just crossed above its signal, giving a modest bullish hint. The stock is hugging a technical support near CNY 28 and faces resistance around CNY 33.65, with volume trending downward, which could limit rapid moves. Fundamentally, the company posts a solid ROE of about 16% and a healthy operating cash flow exceeding CNY 2.8 bn, supported by a low debt‑to‑equity ratio of roughly 9% and cash balances far outpacing debt. A forward PE of ~11x and a trailing PE of ~13.5x place it on the cheaper side of the sector, while the dividend yield of 4.7% with a payout ratio near 64% appears sustainable. The DCF‑derived fair value of roughly CNY 51 suggests a significant upside potential, implying the stock is currently undervalued. Volatility is high at over 36% annualized, yet the beta of ~0.18 points to limited market‑wide price sensitivity. Considering the strong balance sheet, attractive yield, and valuation gap, the stock presents a compelling case for investors willing to tolerate short‑term price swings.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with limited upside in the near term
  • Decreasing volume reducing immediate momentum
  • High dividend yield providing income while waiting for a breakout

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation upside (DCF fair value vs current price)
  • Strong cash generation and low leverage supporting earnings growth
  • Sustainable dividend enhancing total return

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Robust fundamentals and resilient balance sheet
  • Undervalued pricing relative to intrinsic value
  • Consistent dividend policy and modest revenue growth positioning the company for recovery in the consumer cyclical sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.40%
Profit Margin8.76%
P/E Ratio13.5
ROE16.60%
ROA7.41%
Debt/Equity9.38
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash FlowCN¥2.9B
Free Cash FlowCN¥2.6B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI44.0
SupportCN¥28.00
ResistanceCN¥33.65
MA 20CN¥30.13
MA 50CN¥31.20
MA 200CN¥31.20
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.66

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥51.29
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.70%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.18
Volatility36.65%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.