603816:SSEJason Furniture (Hangzhou) Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-23 - not real-time
CN¥24.39
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Jason Furniture is trading at CNY 24.39, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (22.87) but still below the 50‑day (25.74) and 200‑day (30.40) averages, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a longer‑term downtrend. Technical momentum is mixed: the MACD histogram has turned positive and the signal line is bullish, yet volume is decreasing and the overall trend is flagged as bearish. The stock’s valuation appears deeply discounted, with a DCF fair value of roughly CNY 50.2 – a gap of about 50% versus the current price, while the PE of 11.2 and forward PE of 9.5 are modest for the sector. Investors benefit from an attractive dividend yield of 5.8% and a payout ratio near 64%, supported by strong operating cash flow and low leverage (debt‑to‑equity under 10%). High 30‑day volatility (≈33%) and a max drawdown near 40% flag price swings, but the beta of 0.25 suggests limited correlation with broader market moves. The “Extreme Greed” sentiment on the fear‑greed index reflects market optimism, which may be overstretched given the bearish technical backdrop. Overall, the combination of undervaluation, solid fundamentals, and a generous dividend makes the stock appealing for patient investors, while short‑term traders should watch for a breakout above the CNY 24.8 resistance or a slip toward the CNY 21.2 support.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram suggests near‑term upside
- Decreasing volume and bearish trend caution against aggressive buying
- High dividend yield provides downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- DCF valuation indicates ~50% discount to intrinsic value
- Strong cash generation and low leverage support earnings growth
- Sustainable dividend enhances total return
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term demand for home furnishings in China and abroad
- Persistent undervaluation relative to peers
- Compounding effect of high dividend yield and earnings stability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.40%
Profit Margin8.76%
P/E Ratio11.2
ROE16.60%
ROA7.41%
Debt/Equity9.38
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash FlowCN¥2.9B
Free Cash FlowCN¥2.6B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI55.1
SupportCN¥21.23
ResistanceCN¥24.80
MA 20CN¥22.87
MA 50CN¥25.74
MA 200CN¥30.40
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.71
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥50.23
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.80%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.25
Volatility32.60%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.